Match Info

CBA

Date: 30 December 2025, Tuesday

Location: Shandong Arena (Jinan)


	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin		Shanxi Zhongyu

	1	2
	1.83	1.83	Watch
	1.8	1.92
	1.77	1.96	Watch
	1.85	1.91
	1.77	1.98	Watch
	1.74	1.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (2.24)	1.93 ↑ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
51.8%

Shanxi Zhongyu
48.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

59.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

58.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin's performance.

Shanxi Zhongyu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shanxi Zhongyu might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shanxi Zhongyu than the current prediction. (+10.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shanxi Zhongyu could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
81.2%	0%	18.7%

Shandong Hi Speed Kirin - Shanxi Zhongyu Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Shandong will win (votes: 13 - 81.3%). Shanxi will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Shandong: 62.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:91

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Lineups


6. Akoon-Purcell D.	1. Chen Pengyudi
44. Chen Peidong	11. Diallo H.
32. Chriss M.	2. Fall-Faye I.
1. Gao Shiyan	0. Hagans A.
14. Guo Kai	3. Jia Mingru
13. Powell M.	17. Jiao H.
55. Sun Tonglin	21. Liu C.
20. Tao Hanlin	5. Nowell J.
7. Yi Lui	6. Sedak Y.
19. Yu Dehao	7. Yuan Shuai
Coaches
. Biao Q.	. Jiang P.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shandong won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Shanxi may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shandong won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 2096:2085. (average 104.8:104.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Shandong won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1082:1027. (average 108.2:102.7).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin
CBA
28.12.25	Qingdao DoubleStar - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	93:87 ✺
26.12.25	Guangdong Southern Tigers - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	94:88 ✺
22.12.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shenzhen Leopards	92:95 ✺
20.12.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Beijing Royal Fighters	98:88 ✺
17.12.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Sichuan Blue Whales	94:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 LLLWW
- Shanxi Zhongyu
CBA
28.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Guangdong Southern Tigers	89:95 ✺
26.12.25	Qingdao DoubleStar - Shanxi Zhongyu	88:81 ✺
23.12.25	Nanjing Monkey King - Shanxi Zhongyu	77:103 ✺
21.12.25	Tianjin Ronggang - Shanxi Zhongyu	92:99 ✺
18.12.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Zhejiang Golden Bulls	102:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shanxi Zhongyu	88:69
26.08.25	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	84:72
CBA
13.03.25	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shanxi Zhongyu	119:120
18.12.24	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	98:80
24.01.24	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	92:88
02.11.23	Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin - Shanxi Zhongyu	117:114
05.01.23	Shanxi Zhongyu - Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin	118:107

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