Match Info

B.League

Date: 28 December 2025, Sunday

Location: Shiga Daihatsu Arena (Otsu)


	Shiga Lakestars		Toyama Grouses

	1	2
	1.63	2.15	Watch
	1.73	1.92	Watch
	1.79	1.98	Watch
	1.8	2
	1.72	1.98
	1.66	2.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.72 ↑ (1.5)	2.02 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 176.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shiga Lakestars
54%

Toyama Grouses
46%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.6%

35.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shiga Lakestars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shiga Lakestars's form might have worsened.

Toyama Grouses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Toyama Grouses's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shiga Lakestars than the current prediction. (+10.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shiga Lakestars, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (-10.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Toyama Grouses, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Auguste Z.	7. Miyamoto K.
25. Ebara S.	24. Morin Y.
17. Tsuneta K.	12. Motum B.
20. Wimbush T.	3. Okada Y.
7. Yu A.	17. Tanaka H.
Substitutes
34. Hasegawa H.	13. Aquino M.
22. Ichioka S.	2. Fujinaga Y. (C)
14. Nishida Y.	21. Kamata H.
16. Nomoto D. (C)	8. Kell T.
6. Okada T.	9. Mito T.
13. Sakai L.	11. Uto N.
21. Tahara T.	6. Williams N.
Coaches
. Maeda K.	. Gomez D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shiga won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Shiga has had a series of home games.

Shiga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Shiga won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1689:1756. (average 84.5:87.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Shiga won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1059:1058. (average 88.3:88.2).

Last Results with these Odds

Toyama Grouses - the odds 2.42 are the expected chance of winning is 38.27%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shiga Lakestars
Japan B League Premier
27.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	99:100 OT ✺
24.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Shiga Lakestars	105:90 ✺
21.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Koshigaya Alphas	83:80 ✺
20.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Koshigaya Alphas	80:73 ✺
14.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Nagasaki Velca	84:106 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWWL
- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League Premier
27.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	99:100 OT ✺
24.12.25	Toyama Grouses - SAN-EN NeoPhoenix	77:110 ✺
21.12.25	Toyama Grouses - Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa	78:81 ✺
20.12.25	Toyama Grouses - Ryukyu Golden Kings Okinawa	90:80 ✺
14.12.25	Levanga Hokkaido - Toyama Grouses	88:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
27.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	99:100 OT
19.03.23	Toyama Grouses - Shiga Lakestars	94:85
18.03.23	Toyama Grouses - Shiga Lakestars	87:96
20.04.22	Toyama Grouses - Shiga Lakestars	81:89
02.03.22	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	103:108
12.12.21	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	90:95
11.12.21	Shiga Lakestars - Toyama Grouses	102:107

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