Match Info

B.League

Date: 24 December 2025, Wednesday

Location: Matsue General Gymnasium (Matsue)


	Shimane Susanoo Magic		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	4.75	1.15	Watch
	4.35	1.15	Watch
	5.08	1.15	Watch
	4.49	1.17
	4.75	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.68 ↑ (2.98)	1.15 ↓ (1.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Shimane Susanoo Magic
19.8%

Nagasaki Velca
80.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.2%

68.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

67.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Shimane Susanoo Magic has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Shimane Susanoo Magic's form might have worsened.

Nagasaki Velca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Nagasaki Velca's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shimane Susanoo Magic than the current prediction. (+12.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Shimane Susanoo Magic, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Nagasaki Velca, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Shimane Susanoo Magic - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shimane (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 166.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 80:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Clarke C.	18. Baba Y.
4. Kay N. (C)	7. Brantley J.
6. Kitagawa H.	11. Kumagai K.
11. Nakamura T.	5. Lee Hyun-Jung
77. Okada Y.	25. Mitchell A.
Substitutes
22. Iio F.	13. Hoshikawa K.
14. McAdoo J. M.	14. Johnson S.
21. Nohmi Y.	4. Karimata M. (C)
24. Okamoto H.	99. Kawamata K.
7. Sukegawa A.	1. Matsumoto K.
20. Ueda S.	17. Yamaguchi H.
Coaches
. Bozic P.	. Maor M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Shimane won 3.

Recent performances by Shimane have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Nagasaki is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Nagasaki may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Nagasaki is considered a favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Shimane won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 614:636. (average 76.8:79.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Shimane won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 164:162. (average 82:81).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Shimane Susanoo Magic
Japan B League Premier
20.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Shimane Susanoo Magic	69:72 ✺
19.12.25	Kawasaki Brave Thunders - Shimane Susanoo Magic	79:68 ✺
14.12.25	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Hiroshima Dragonflies	96:88 ✺
13.12.25	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Hiroshima Dragonflies	71:73 ✺
10.12.25	Kyoto Hannaryz - Shimane Susanoo Magic	57:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
21.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	85:71 ✺
20.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	102:70 ✺
14.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Nagasaki Velca	84:106 ✺
13.12.25	Shiga Lakestars - Nagasaki Velca	82:107 ✺
10.12.25	Hiroshima Dragonflies - Nagasaki Velca	74:105 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
09.04.25	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Nagasaki Velca	72:63
02.02.25	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	98:74
01.02.25	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	69:78
18.12.24	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	77:73
31.03.24	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	81:85 OT
30.03.24	Nagasaki Velca - Shimane Susanoo Magic	74:67
07.02.24	Shimane Susanoo Magic - Nagasaki Velca	92:99

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