Match Info

First League - Round 13

Date: 27 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Gradska hala Mostonga (Sombor)


	Sombor		Metalac Valjevo

	1	2
	1.42	2.63	Watch
	1.4	2.75
	1.41	2.69
	1.41	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↓ (1.66)	2.69 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 167.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sombor
65.6%

Metalac Valjevo
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.9%

44.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.7%

42.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sombor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sombor's performance.

Metalac Valjevo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Metalac Valjevo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sombor than the current prediction. (-7.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sombor that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metalac Valjevo than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Metalac Valjevo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sombor - Metalac Valjevo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:81

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bajic M.	2. Davis D.
0. Glasper L.	24. Illes L.
21. Morgan J.	9. Koprivica M.
13. Mrgic A.	1. Petrovic L.
3. Suput M.	7. Sekularac D.
Substitutes
36. Bogdanovic M.	0. Danilovic U.
55. Jerebicanin A.	8. Djukanovic D.
12. Jovovic V.	11. Dragojevic K.
11. Rnic V.	3. Jordan D.
2. Savic J.	58. Milin M.
8. Suput U.	44. Milutinovic M.
77. Vrsajkovic A.	27. Odalovic D.
Coaches
. Kisic R.	. Pavkovic M.

Preview

Recent form of Joker has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Metalac Valjevo has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Joker may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Joker will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Joker won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 366:299. (average 91.5:74.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Joker won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 194:152. (average 97:76).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sombor BC
Serbian First League Basketball
20.12.25	Mladost Zemun - Sombor	80:65 ✺
13.12.25	Dynamic - Sombor	62:71 ✺
06.12.25	Sombor - Sloboda Užice	72:79 ✺
01.12.25	OKK Beograd - Sombor	104:89 ✺
21.11.25	Sombor - Hercegovac Gajdobra	81:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 LWLLL
- KK Metalac Valjevo
Serbian First League Basketball
22.12.25	Metalac Valjevo - Dynamic	99:93 ✺
12.12.25	Sloboda Užice - Metalac Valjevo	100:67 ✺
06.12.25	Metalac Valjevo - OKK Beograd	87:96 ✺
29.11.25	Hercegovac Gajdobra - Metalac Valjevo	103:102 OT ✺
22.11.25	Metalac Valjevo - Borac Zemun	97:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Serbian First League Basketball
22.03.25	Metalac Valjevo - Sombor	63:76
07.12.24	Sombor - Metalac Valjevo	89:80
23.03.24	Sombor - Metalac Valjevo	105:72
02.12.23	Metalac Valjevo - Sombor	84:96

Sombor - Metalac Valjevo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide