Match Info

NBL1 Central

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:45	Nbl+


	South Adelaide Panthers		Sturt Sabres

	1	2
	2.25	1.57	Watch
	2.3	1.55
	2.1	1.58
	2.1	1.68
	2.06	1.66	Watch
	2.15	1.7
	2.08	1.67	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↓ (2.19)	1.63 ↑ (1.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

South Adelaide Panthers
43.1%

Sturt Sabres
56.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.3%

58.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.5%

59.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

South Adelaide Panthers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Sturt Sabres has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sturt Sabres than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
57.1%	0%	42.9%

South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. South Adelaide will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Sturt will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:95

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 3.

Both teams have triumphed in their latest matches.

Sturt will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 12 head-to-head matches, South Adelaide won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 953:976. (average 79.4:81.3).

Including home matches between the teams, South Adelaide won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 387:401. (average 77.4:80.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- South Adelaide Panthers Basketball
Australian NBL1 Central
09.05.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Eastern Mavericks	108:89 ✺
02.05.26	Woodville Warriors - South Adelaide Panthers	97:107 ✺
26.04.26	South Adelaide Panthers - North Adelaide Rockets	112:90 ✺
25.04.26	Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers	77:89 ✺
18.04.26	Southern Tigers - South Adelaide Panthers	90:118 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 WWWWW
- Sturt Sabres
Australian NBL1 Central
09.05.26	West Adelaide Bearcats - Sturt Sabres	90:94 ✺
02.05.26	Sturt Sabres - Norwood Flames	100:98 OT ✺
25.04.26	Eastern Mavericks - Sturt Sabres	68:104 ✺
24.04.26	Sturt Sabres - Southern Tigers	86:84 ✺
17.04.26	Sturt Sabres - North Adelaide Rockets	114:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
21.03.26	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	96:93
21.06.25	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	85:97
12.04.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	88:79
16.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	87:68
14.04.24	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	97:94
30.07.23	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	98:71
14.05.23	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	59:87

South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres