Match Info

NBL1 Central

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	20:45	Nbl+


	Central Districts Lions		South Adelaide Panthers

	1	2
	1.43	2.65	Watch
	1.46	2.35
	1.49	2.48
	1.49	2.4	Watch
	1.47	2.6
	1.46	2.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.65)	2.5 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 187.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Central Districts Lions
63%

South Adelaide Panthers
37%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

39.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Central Districts Lions has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Central Districts Lions's performance.

South Adelaide Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and South Adelaide Panthers might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Central Districts Lions than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 97:92

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Central Districts won 2.

Central Districts is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

South Adelaide has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Central Districts may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Central Districts could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Central Districts won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 863:853. (average 86.3:85.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Central Districts won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 457:424. (average 91.4:84.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Central Districts Lions
Australian NBL1 Central
19.04.26	Forestville Eagles - Central Districts Lions	107:72 ✺
18.04.26	Central Districts Lions - West Adelaide Bearcats	113:88 ✺
11.04.26	Woodville Warriors - Central Districts Lions	97:83 ✺
02.04.26	Central Districts Lions - Eastern Mavericks	92:114 ✺
28.03.26	Central Districts Lions - Sturt Sabres	91:111 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- South Adelaide Panthers Basketball
Australian NBL1 Central
18.04.26	Southern Tigers - South Adelaide Panthers	90:118 ✺
11.04.26	South Adelaide Panthers - West Adelaide Bearcats	90:74 ✺
02.04.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Norwood Flames	87:83 ✺
28.03.26	Forestville Eagles - South Adelaide Panthers	97:79 ✺
21.03.26	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	96:93 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
15.06.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	91:103
17.04.25	Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers	99:82
13.07.24	Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers	88:90
04.05.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	97:84
24.06.23	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	86:83
15.04.23	Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers	94:97
09.07.22	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	84:68

Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Central Districts Lions - South Adelaide Panthers Predictions

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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