Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 5 December 2024, Thursday


	Southern Miss Golden Eagles		Alabama State Hornets

	1	2
	1.45	2.8
	1.48	2.7
	1.47	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.63
	1.47	2.67	Watch
	1.44	2.62
	1.47	2.79
	1.47	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.69)	2.7 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Southern Miss Golden Eagles
64.8%

Alabama State Hornets
35.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

43.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

43.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Southern Miss Golden Eagles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Southern Miss Golden Eagles's performance.

Alabama State Hornets has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Alabama State Hornets might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Southern Miss Golden Eagles than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Southern Miss Golden Eagles that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alabama State Hornets than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Alabama State Hornets could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Alabama State Hornets Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:73

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Preview

Southern Miss is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Alabama State is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Southern Miss could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

Southern Miss will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Southern Miss Golden Eagles basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.24	Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Wisconsin-Milwaukee Panthers	66:65 ✺
25.11.24	Abilene Christian Wildcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	82:74 ✺
24.11.24	Montana State Bobcats - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	79:59 ✺
20.11.24	South Dakota State Jackrabbits - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	101:76 ✺
07.11.24	UAB Blazers - Southern Miss Golden Eagles	98:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.1 WLLLL
- Alabama State Hornets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
03.12.24	Southern Methodist Mustangs - Alabama State Hornets	101:72 ✺
27.11.24	Cincinnati Bearcats - Alabama State Hornets	77:59 ✺
24.11.24	Akron Zips - Alabama State Hornets	97:78 ✺
23.11.24	Lamar Cardinals - Alabama State Hornets	75:77 ✺
22.11.24	Alabama State Hornets - Omaha Mavericks	85:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLLWW

Southern Miss Golden Eagles - Alabama State Hornets: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide