Match Info

EUROPE: FIBA EUROPE CUP - ROUND 6

Date: 22 November 2023, Wednesday


	Sporting Lisbon		Balkan Botevgrad

	1	2
			Watch
	1.22	3.7
	1.24	3.75	Watch
	1.27	4.15
	1.26	4.15
	1.29	3.5
	1.25	3.72
	1.25	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.25 ↓ (1.41)	3.79 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 166.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
75.1%

Balkan Botevgrad
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

35.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

35.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sporting Lisbon's performance.

Balkan Botevgrad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Balkan Botevgrad might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-10.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Balkan Botevgrad than the current prediction. (+10.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Balkan Botevgrad could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sporting Lisbon - Balkan Botevgrad Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:79

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Preview

Recent matches Sporting is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Balkan is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Sporting could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Sporting have a series of guest games.

Recently Balkan have a series of home games.

In this match Sporting is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sporting won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70-81.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
Portuguese LPB
18.11.23	Oliveirense - Sporting Lisbon	90:85 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
11.11.23	Imortal - Sporting Lisbon	83:92 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.11.23	Alba Fehérvár - Sporting Lisbon	106:102 OT ✺
Portuguese LPB
05.11.23	Sporting Lisbon - Portimonense	94:73 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Sporting Lisbon	81:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 LWLWL
- BC Balkan Botevgrad
Bulgarian NBL
18.11.23	Chernomorets - Balkan Botevgrad	90:81 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Alba Fehérvár	85:79 ✺
Bulgarian NBL
11.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Minyor	86:74 ✺
04.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Spartak Pleven	89:85 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
01.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Sporting Lisbon	81:70 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
01.11.23	Balkan Botevgrad - Sporting Lisbon	81:70

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