The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Sporting Lisbon 69.5%
Ovarense 30.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
65.4%
34.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
57.5%
42.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
Ovarense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sporting Lisbon that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ovarense than the current prediction. (+12%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ovarense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 85:78
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
6. Amarante F.
2. Ayres L.
4. Bowman M.
35. Cambridge D.
3. Davis-Fleming J.
16. Silva J.
2. O'Reilly L.
6. Wood J.
9. Ventura D. (C)
0. Woods A.
Substitutes
22. Baskin T.
10. Monteiro M.
8. Carter B.
9. Morais N. (C)
46. Embalo J.
33. O'Boyle L.
13. Fernandes J.
20. Palm J.
11. Kalscheur G.
4. Silva S.
5. Palhares R.
13. Soeiro R.
20. Teixeira G.
24. Sona R.
Coaches
. Silva J.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 5.
Sporting has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Performances by Ovarense have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sporting may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Ovarense has enjoyed a sequence of home fixtures.
Bookmakers give the edge to Sporting for this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Sporting has recorded 17 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1748:1508 (averaging 87.4:75.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Sporting against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 789:652 goals (averaging 87.7:72.4 per game).
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Amarante F. 
Ayres L. 
Embalo J. 
Fernandes J. 
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