Match Info

FIBA Europe Cup - Round 5

Date: 12 November 2025, Wednesday

Location: Pavilhão João Rocha (Lisbon)

Referee: Zamorano Sanchez R. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Sporting TV


	Sporting Lisbon		Rasta Vechta

	1	2
			Watch
			Watch
	1.82	1.9
	1.84	1.97
	1.81	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	1.93 ↑ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-1)

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sporting Lisbon
51.5%

Rasta Vechta
48.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

53.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.7%

50.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sporting Lisbon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

Rasta Vechta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rasta Vechta than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
87%	0%	13%

Sporting Lisbon - Rasta Vechta Predictions

Users Predictions: Sporting Lisbon will win (20 of 23 users predict this - 86.96%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.2% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sporting Lisbon will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Amarante F.	5. Bamba T.
0. Johns Jr B.	10. Brown T.
24. Morgan M. (C)	23. Dandridge M.
7. Robinson C.	14. Herkenhoff P. (C)
9. Ventura D.	11. Verge A.
Substitutes
2. Bowman M.	24. Krupnikas R.
4. Correia M.	12. Kuhse T.
13. Fernandes J.	16. Lastring F.
3. Harden-Hayes M.	41. Pandi L.
5. Palhares R.	15. Trettin L.
1. Razaque U.	6. Van Slooten L.
30. Swenson S.
Coaches
. Magalhaes L.	. Held C.

Preview

Sporting is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Vechta is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Vechta may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Sporting has had a series of away games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that Sporting will win today's game, with odds of 1.97.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 82:98.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sporting Lisbon Basketball
Portuguese LPB
09.11.25	Galitos Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon	86:127 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
04.11.25	Dinamo Sassari - Sporting Lisbon	89:72 ✺
Portuguese LPB
01.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - Ovarense	78:64 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Vâlcea - Sporting Lisbon	61:102 ✺
Portuguese Taca da Liga Basketball
25.10.25	Porto - Sporting Lisbon	88:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWW
- Rasta Vechta
German BBL
09.11.25	Rasta Vechta - Bayern München	74:77 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
05.11.25	Rasta Vechta - Vâlcea	88:90 ✺
German BBL
02.11.25	Trier - Rasta Vechta	96:87 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
29.10.25	Dinamo Sassari - Rasta Vechta	105:94 ✺
German BBL
25.10.25	Rasta Vechta - Baskets Bonn	70:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

FIBA Europe Cup
22.10.25	Rasta Vechta - Sporting Lisbon	98:82

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