Match Info

CHILE: LNB

Date: 22 March 2024, Friday

Location: Fortín Prat (Valparaíso)


	Sportiva Italiana		Deportes Castro

	1	2
	2.05	1.65
	2.24	1.55
	2.37	1.58
	2.37	1.58
	2.3	1.57
	2.31	1.57
	2.24	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.93)	1.58 ↓ (1.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 150.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sportiva Italiana
41%

Deportes Castro
59%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

51.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

51.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sportiva Italiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sportiva Italiana's form might have worsened.

Deportes Castro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Deportes Castro's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sportiva Italiana than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sportiva Italiana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Deportes Castro than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Deportes Castro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Sportiva Italiana - Deportes Castro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 73:77

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Preview

Sportiva Italiana is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Deportes Castro is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Deportes Castro could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Sportiva Italiana won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sportiva Italiana
Chilean LNB
17.03.24	Universidad De Concepción - Sportiva Italiana	78:73 ✺
16.03.24	Español de Talca - Sportiva Italiana	88:82 ✺
09.03.24	Sportiva Italiana - Universidad De Concepción	72:78 ✺
08.03.24	Sportiva Italiana - Español de Talca	95:75 ✺
03.03.24	Ancud - Sportiva Italiana	80:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LLLWL
- Deportes Castro
Chilean LNB
16.03.24	Deportes Castro - Ancud	73:75 ✺
09.03.24	Ancud - Deportes Castro	84:82 ✺
03.03.24	Deportes Castro - Puente Alto	74:70 ✺
02.03.24	Deportes Castro - Sportiva Italiana	76:78 ✺
10.02.24	Deportivo Valdivia - Deportes Castro	79:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
02.03.24	Deportes Castro - Sportiva Italiana	76:78

Sportiva Italiana - Deportes Castro: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide