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Current Win Probability
Deportes Castro 56.1%
Puente Alto 43.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.6%
37.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.1%
35.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Deportes Castro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Deportes Castro's form might have worsened.
Puente Alto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Puente Alto's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportes Castro than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Deportes Castro, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Puente Alto than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Puente Alto, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Deportes Castro - Puente Alto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:73
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Preview
Last 5 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 1.
Both teams are now playing unstable.
Deportes Castro will have a small advantage in this match.
Our prediction for today's Deportes Castro to win the game is with odds 1.48.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Deportes Castro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 746-790.
Including matches at home between the teams Deportes Castro won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 381-355.