Match Info

NCAA

Date: 23 January 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished


	St. Francis PA Red Flash		Chicago State Cougars

	1	2
	1.53	2.6
	1.45	2.6
	1.55	2.48
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.45	2.74
	1.6	2.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.67)	2.52 ↑ (2.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 143.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

St. Francis PA Red Flash
62.2%

Chicago State Cougars
37.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

56.7%

43.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.5%

45.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

St. Francis PA Red Flash has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in St. Francis PA Red Flash's performance.

Chicago State Cougars has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chicago State Cougars might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for St. Francis PA Red Flash than the current prediction. (-7.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with St. Francis PA Red Flash that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chicago State Cougars than the current prediction. (+7.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chicago State Cougars could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

St. Francis PA Red Flash - Chicago State Cougars Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 71:73

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Preview

Recent performances by St. Francis PA have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Chicago State is on a losing streak (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

We predict that St. Francis PA will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, St. Francis PA won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 161:140. (average 80.5:70).

Including home match between the teams, St. Francis PA won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 80:71.

Outrights of NCAA College Basketball for now

Chicago State: 0.22%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- St. Francis PA Red Flash basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Stonehill Skyhawks	63:61 ✺
17.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Central Connecticut State Blue Devils	90:98 ✺
10.01.26	LIU Sharks - St. Francis PA Red Flash	67:63 ✺
08.01.26	Wagner Seahawks - St. Francis PA Red Flash	69:71 ✺
04.01.26	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Fairleigh Dickinson Knights	85:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WLLWW
- Chicago State Cougars basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.01.26	Chicago State Cougars - New Haven Chargers	56:62 ✺
17.01.26	Chicago State Cougars - Le Moyne Dolphins	57:72 ✺
10.01.26	Stonehill Skyhawks - Chicago State Cougars	85:82 OT ✺
08.01.26	Fairleigh Dickinson Knights - Chicago State Cougars	70:63 ✺
04.01.26	Chicago State Cougars - LIU Sharks	55:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
01.03.25	St. Francis PA Red Flash - Chicago State Cougars	80:71 OT
08.02.25	Chicago State Cougars - St. Francis PA Red Flash	69:81

St. Francis PA Red Flash - Chicago State Cougars