Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 23

Date: 19 March 2026, Thursday

Location: Hala Sportowa Stal (Ostrow Wielkopolski)


	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski		Czarni Słupsk

	1	2
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.65	2.03	Watch
	1.72	2.14
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.67	2.05
	1.67	2.14
	1.73	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.68 ↓ (1.73)	2.08 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
55.3%

Czarni Słupsk
44.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.6%

46.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.5%

46.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Czarni Słupsk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Czarni Słupsk than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Czarni Słupsk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Ostrów (votes: 1 - 50%). Czarni Słupsk (votes: 1 - 50%).

Users Predictions: Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:84

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gibson T.	1. Duffy J.
9. Golebiowski D. (C)	20. Hines S. T.
13. Jackson Q.	11. Lambrecht T.
22. Laster D.	3. Penn J.
5. Mejeris M.	21. Skele A. (C)
Substitutes
6. Brembly D.	2. Carter C.
8. Czoska N.	25. Nowakowski M.
55. Pluta M.	41. Parzenski J.
15. Reid E.	12. Pluta J.
23. Rutecki J.	9. Wilczek D.
2. Sakota L.	8. Zabrocki C.
11. Smektala A.
Coaches
. Urban A.	. Skelin I.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 4.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Stal Ostrów has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1567:1456. (average 78.4:72.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Ostrów won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 906:846. (average 82.4:76.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
9	Ostrow Wielkopolski	1	1	0	84:79	2
12	Czarni Slupsk	1	0	1	76:79	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Basket Liga
15.03.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Toruń	77:75 ✺
08.03.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Start Lublin	93:78 ✺
14.02.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Legia Warsaw	75:83 ✺
05.02.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	81:76 ✺
30.01.26	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	91:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WWLWL
- Czarni Słupsk
Polish Basket Liga
12.03.26	MOSiR Krosno - Czarni Słupsk	77:91 ✺
05.03.26	Czarni Słupsk - Toruń	103:93 OT ✺
15.02.26	Start Lublin - Czarni Słupsk	101:96 ✺
08.02.26	Czarni Słupsk - Legia Warsaw	87:82 ✺
31.01.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Czarni Słupsk	84:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
13.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:93
31.01.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:83
11.10.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Czarni Słupsk	70:66
Polish Cup Basketball
16.02.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Czarni Słupsk	87:82
Polish Basket Liga
12.01.24	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	65:85
29.09.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Czarni Słupsk	106:77
12.05.23	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	70:77

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