Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 12

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday

Location: Hala Sportowa Stal (Ostrow Wielkopolski)

Referee: Tybor T. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 3, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski		Śląsk Wrocław

	1	2
	2.75	1.4	Watch
	2.55	1.4	Watch
	2.72	1.43
	2.83	1.39	Watch
	2.75	1.4
	2.89	1.39
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.88)	1.4 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 178.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
33.8%

Śląsk Wrocław
66.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.8%

68.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

30.2%

69.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Śląsk Wrocław has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Śląsk Wrocław than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	0%	20%

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Stal Ostrów will win (votes: 8 - 80%). Śląsk Wrocław will win (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Stal Ostrów: 55.2% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +4, OT - Stal Ostrów (2.25) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski will win (7 of 7 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Ostrów (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:91

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Gibson T.	34. Djordjevic S.
13. Jackson Q.	25. Gray K.
22. Laster D.	10. Kirkwood N.
5. Mejeris M.	35. Niziol J. (C)
55. Pluta M.	7. Urbaniak J.
Substitutes
10. Brzovic A.	31. Coleman-Jones J.
8. Czoska N.	27. Czerniewicz B.
9. Golebiowski D. (C)	3. Kulikowski B.
23. Rutecki J.	1. Nunez A.
2. Sakota L.	11. Penava A.
11. Smektala A.	22. Sternicki T.
	2. Wisniewski A.
Coaches
. Urban A.	. Bagatskis A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 2.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Śląsk Wrocław may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Śląsk Wrocław is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Stal Ostrów will win today's game, with odds of 2.62.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Stal Ostrów won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1686:1644. (average 84.3:82.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Stal Ostrów won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 922:854. (average 83.8:77.6).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Basket Liga
13.12.25	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	98:84 ✺
04.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Anwil Włocławek	104:89 ✺
20.11.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - MOSiR Krosno	92:89 ✺
13.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:93 ✺
10.11.25	Toruń - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	109:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.2 LWWWL
- Śląsk Wrocław Basketball
Eurocup
17.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Basquet Manresa	90:96 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
15.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Czarni Słupsk	87:64 ✺
Eurocup
10.12.25	Neptūnas - Śląsk Wrocław	103:87 OT ✺
Polish Basket Liga
07.12.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Toruń	87:75 ✺
Eurocup
04.12.25	Cedevita Olimpija - Śląsk Wrocław	108:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
21.04.25	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	91:87
22.12.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław	88:81
15.05.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław	81:83
12.05.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	74:84
09.05.24	Śląsk Wrocław - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	102:97
05.05.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław	81:64
03.05.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Śląsk Wrocław	76:85

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