Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 11

Date: 13 December 2025, Saturday

Location: CRS Hala Zielona Gora (Zielona Góra)

Referee: Skorek M. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Zielona Góra		Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski

	1	2
	1.56	2.3
	1.53	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.4
	1.58	2.27	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.57	2.33
	1.54	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↑ (1.55)	2.31 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Zielona Góra
59.7%

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
40.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.8%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.8%

40.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Zielona Góra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zielona Góra than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Stal Ostrów (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 87:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Garrison C. J.	33. Gibson T.
32. Maughmer J.	9. Golebiowski D. (C)
3. Mazurczak A. (C)	22. Laster D.
7. Sulima Krzysztof .	5. Mejeris M.
13. Szumert J.	55. Pluta M.
Substitutes
12. Cartier P.	10. Brzovic A.
10. Fayne P.	8. Czoska N.
40. Lewis C.	13. Jackson Q.
23. Sitnik M.	23. Rutecki J.
77. Woroniecki M.	2. Sakota L.
	11. Smektala A.
Coaches
. Miloszewski A.	. Urban A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 1.

Zielona Góra has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Stal Ostrów is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Stal Ostrów may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Zielona Góra has had a series of away games.

Zielona Góra might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zielona Góra won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 1714:1822. (average 85.7:91.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Zielona Góra won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 924:882. (average 92.4:88.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Zielona Góra
Polish Basket Liga
06.12.25	Czarni Słupsk - Zielona Góra	63:95 ✺
22.11.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	95:81 ✺
15.11.25	Start Lublin - Zielona Góra	77:91 ✺
09.11.25	Zielona Góra - Legia Warsaw	71:88 ✺
01.11.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Zielona Góra	80:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWLL
- Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski
Polish Basket Liga
04.12.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Anwil Włocławek	104:89 ✺
20.11.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - MOSiR Krosno	92:89 ✺
13.11.25	Czarni Słupsk - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	86:93 ✺
10.11.25	Toruń - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	109:79 ✺
02.11.25	Start Lublin - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	76:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24 WWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
07.05.25	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	92:87
17.01.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra	84:70
27.04.24	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra	126:60
29.12.23	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	87:92
08.04.23	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	87:97
ENBL
21.03.23	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Zielona Góra	101:80
12.03.23	Zielona Góra - Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski	97:94

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