Match Info

NBL1 Central - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 18 July 2026, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	Nbl+


	Sturt Sabres		South Adelaide Panthers

	1	2
	1.57	2.25	Watch
	1.57	2.25
	1.60	2.20
	1.65	2.15
	1.66	2.06	Watch
	1.61	2.10
	1.64	2.13	Watch
	1.60	2.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.59)	2.16 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 181.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Sturt Sabres
57.2%

South Adelaide Panthers
42.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9%

47.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sturt Sabres has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

South Adelaide Panthers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sturt Sabres than the current prediction. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for South Adelaide Panthers than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 93:90

#ad

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 1.

Sturt is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).

South Adelaide has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sturt is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

We predict that Sturt will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.

In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Sturt won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1055:1056. (average 81.2:81.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Sturt won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 575:566. (average 82.1:80.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sturt Sabres
Australian NBL1 Central
11.07.26	Sturt Sabres - West Adelaide Bearcats	94:85 ✺
04.07.26	North Adelaide Rockets - Sturt Sabres	83:104 ✺
28.06.26	Sturt Sabres - Eastern Mavericks	115:79 ✺
27.06.26	Southern Tigers - Sturt Sabres	67:91 ✺
20.06.26	Sturt Sabres - Woodville Warriors	56:74 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WWWWL
- South Adelaide Panthers Basketball
Australian NBL1 Central
11.07.26	Eastern Mavericks - South Adelaide Panthers	82:101 ✺
04.07.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Southern Tigers	115:91 ✺
28.06.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Central Districts Lions	92:98 ✺
27.06.26	North Adelaide Rockets - South Adelaide Panthers	116:109 ✺
21.06.26	Norwood Flames - South Adelaide Panthers	89:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 WWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Australian NBL1 Central
23.05.26	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	103:79
21.03.26	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	96:93
21.06.25	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	85:97
12.04.25	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	88:79
16.06.24	South Adelaide Panthers - Sturt Sabres	87:68
14.04.24	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	97:94
30.07.23	Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers	98:71

Sturt Sabres - South Adelaide Panthers: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide