Match Info

Date: 21 December 2020, Monday


	Sūduva		Jonava

	1	2
	2.1	1.65
	2.23	1.58
	2.31	1.57
	2.2	1.62
	2.36	1.55	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↑ (1.75)	1.59 ↓ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 161.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva
41.6%

Jonava
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

47.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.5%

47.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Sūduva's form might have worsened.

Jonava has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Jonava's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sūduva than the current prediction. (+10.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Sūduva, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jonava than the current prediction. (-10.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Jonava, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
62.5%	0%	37.5%

Sūduva - Jonava Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sūduva will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Jonava will win (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sūduva: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:83

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Preview

No spectators.

Sūduva is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Jonava in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Jonava could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Sūduva have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph bor both teams are almost equal.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Sūduva won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 604-514.

Including matches at home between the teams Sūduva won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 348-275.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Sūduva
Lietuvos NKL
17.12.20	Sūduva - Šilalės Lūšis	81:62 ✺
12.12.20	Šilutė - Sūduva	72:68 ✺
10.12.20	Sūduva - Ežerūnas	84:59 ✺
08.12.20	Sūduva - Neptūnas	86:62 ✺
05.12.20	Sūduva - Telšiai	88:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWWW
- Jonava BC
Lietuvos NKL
19.12.20	Šilalės Lūšis - Jonava	65:84 ✺
17.12.20	Jonava - Perlas Vilkaviškis	92:64 ✺
12.12.20	Delikatesas Joniškis - Jonava	66:96 ✺
10.12.20	Jonava - Šilutė	88:80 ✺
05.12.20	Jonava - Vytis Šakiai	84:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
07.12.19	Sūduva - Jonava	94:78
24.10.19	Jonava - Sūduva	62:85
01.12.18	Sūduva - Jonava	70:59
06.10.18	Jonava - Sūduva	84:91
24.02.18	Sūduva - Jonava	102:66
01.12.17	Jonava - Sūduva	93:80
10.12.16	Sūduva - Jonava	82:72

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