Match Info

NKL

Date: 15 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Marijampoles zaidimu sporto mokyklos sale (Marijampole)


	Sūduva		Telšiai

	1	2
	1.53	2.3
	1.53	2.36
	1.5	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.68)	2.36 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sūduva
60.8%

Telšiai
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.3%

45.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.1%

45.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sūduva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sūduva's performance.

Telšiai has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Telšiai might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sūduva than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sūduva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Telšiai than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Telšiai could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Sūduva - Telšiai Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Jucikas M.	20. Balciunas T.
7. Labutis I.	90. Kaveckis L.
0. Simonis Z.	22. Rasys D.
13. Uzupis M.	3. Razutis I. (C)
88. Vilys D. (C)	31. Small J.
Substitutes
1. Dumcius M.	13. Gecevicius M.
8. Grigas J.	1. Kaminskis O.
37. Jaskus E.	24. Martinkus I.
22. Kliucinykas T. (C)	6. Pocius V.
11. Navickas A.	4. Rimkus A.
24. Pukelis A.
4. Zigmantavicius M.
Coaches
. Usas M.	. Buskevics S.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 1.

Sūduva is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Telšiai is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Telšiai may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sūduva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sūduva won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1455:1513. (average 72.8:75.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Sūduva won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 763:764. (average 76.3:76.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Sūduva
Lietuvos NKL
13.11.25	Mažeikiai - Sūduva	90:91 ✺
06.11.25	Sūduva - Šilutė	83:76 ✺
04.11.25	Sūduva - Plunges Olimpas	90:58 ✺
30.10.25	Sūduva - Kėdainiai	91:95 ✺
25.10.25	Kretinga - Sūduva	76:92 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WWWLW
- KK Telšiai
Lietuvos NKL
13.11.25	Telšiai - Kretinga	86:80 ✺
08.11.25	Rytas 2 - Telšiai	67:93 ✺
06.11.25	Telšiai - Vilniaus Stekas	85:81 ✺
30.10.25	Omega Tauras - Telšiai	88:90 ✺
27.10.25	Neptūnas-Akvaservis - Telšiai	62:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Lietuvos NKL
20.02.25	Sūduva - Telšiai	66:77
05.12.24	Sūduva - Telšiai	77:54
14.11.24	Telšiai - Sūduva	84:61
24.02.24	Telšiai - Sūduva	70:62
01.02.24	Sūduva - Telšiai	67:81
19.12.23	Telšiai - Sūduva	63:59
25.11.23	Sūduva - Telšiai	84:75 OT

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