Match Info

NBL

Date: 16 May 2026, Saturday

Location: TSB Stadium (New Plymouth)


	Taranaki Airs		Wellington Saints

	1	2
			Watch
	5.5	1.09	Watch
	6.83	1.06
	5.73	1.07	Watch
	7	1.09
	5.46	1.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.1 ↑ (5.05)	1.08 ↓ (1.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 195.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-12)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Taranaki Airs
15%

Wellington Saints
85%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.9%

82.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Taranaki Airs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Wellington Saints has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 92:104

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Cook A.	7. Aliir A.
10. Green X.	0. Davison C.
13. Moors J.	1. Ingram D.
2. Samuel T.	2. Le'Afa I. (C)
1. Stroud B.	40. Pepper E.
Substitutes
9. Adam Z.	11. Blackmore A.
32. Bailey Q. (C)	3. Gold S.
8. Cooper J.	15. Hunt J.
3. Jones M.	44. Latu D.
6. Tuhaka L.	6. Munir H.
11. Tuuta R.	27. Pilcher A.
5. Vea L.	17. Robertson A.
Coaches
. White J.	. Young A.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 1.

Taranaki Airs is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Wellington Saints has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Wellington Saints may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Wellington Saints is the obvious favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Taranaki Airs won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 18 matches, and goals 1653:1936. (average 82.7:96.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Taranaki Airs won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 794:940. (average 79.4:94).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Taranaki Airs
New Zealand NBL
07.05.26	Taranaki Airs - Southland Sharks	74:82 ✺
02.05.26	Nelson Giants - Taranaki Airs	107:91 ✺
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89 ✺
26.04.26	Taranaki Airs - Franklin Bulls	91:90 ✺
18.04.26	Tauranga Whai - Taranaki Airs	87:62 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLWL
- Wellington Saints
New Zealand NBL
10.05.26	Wellington Saints - Franklin Bulls	126:88 ✺
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89 ✺
27.04.26	Wellington Saints - Auckland Tuatara	90:82 ✺
25.04.26	Nelson Giants - Wellington Saints	97:95 ✺
18.04.26	Canterbury Rams - Wellington Saints	111:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

New Zealand NBL
30.04.26	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	111:89
03.05.25	Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints	72:84
15.03.25	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	110:115 OT
08.06.24	Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints	85:96
21.04.24	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	103:86
18.06.23	Wellington Saints - Taranaki Airs	97:91
04.06.23	Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints	92:111

Taranaki Airs - Wellington Saints: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide