Match Info

LFB Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 30 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Tarbes Palais des Sports (Tarbes)


	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre		Flammes Carolo

	1	2
	1.48	2.4
	1.23	3.55
	1.19	3.93
	1.24	3.76	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.23	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.43)	3.28 ↑ (2.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
71.4%

Flammes Carolo
28.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.5%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.7%

37.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tarbes Gespe Bigorre's performance.

Flammes Carolo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Flammes Carolo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tarbes Gespe Bigorre than the current prediction. (-8.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tarbes Gespe Bigorre that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flammes Carolo than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Flammes Carolo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:67

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
7. Droguet C. (C)	4. Bouderra A. (C)
94. Mendy M.	1. Brochant N.
11. Musa M.	10. Chevaugeon S.
17. Sivka A.	34. Clarke T.
13. Zodia J.	6. Dongue L.
Substitutes
27. Celerier J.	14. Akomatsri H.
2. Cooper T.	3. Bankole O.
14. Ewodo M.	22. Chidom O.
25. Fora N.	2. Franchelin C.
77. Miyem E.
16. Rodriguez C.
8. Strunc I.
Coaches
. Gomez F.	. Yernaux R.

Preview

1st leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches Tarbes won 2.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Flammes Carolo could have physical problems compared to their opponent - in recent days, they have played more matches than their opponents.

Tarbes will have a small advantage in this match.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tarbes won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1216:1366 (average 64:71.9).

Including matches at home between the teams, Tarbes won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 590:586 (average 65.6:65.1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
French LFB
22.04.25	Bourges Basket - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	79:82 ✺
17.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Bourges Basket	74:76 ✺
06.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Avenir Basket Chartres	84:66 ✺
30.03.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	90:64 ✺
23.03.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Roche Vendée	92:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.5 WLWLW
- Flammes Carolo Basket
French Cup Basketball Women
26.04.25	Bourges Basket - Flammes Carolo	67:70 ✺
French LFB
23.04.25	Lattes Montpellier - Flammes Carolo	80:68 ✺
18.04.25	Flammes Carolo - Lattes Montpellier	90:72 ✺
06.04.25	Lyon - Flammes Carolo	86:78 ✺
30.03.25	Flammes Carolo - Union Angers	65:59 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.6 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

French Cup Basketball Women
01.03.25	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	75:74
French LFB
11.01.25	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	79:67
05.10.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	73:55
02.03.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	69:63
24.01.24	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	73:53
15.04.23	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	75:81
08.01.23	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	72:60

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