Match Info

LFB Women - Play Offs - Final

Date: 16 May 2025, Friday

Location: Espace Francois Mitterrand (Mont-de-Marsan)


	Basket Landes		Tarbes Gespe Bigorre

	1	2
	1.3	3.1
	1.27	3.25
	1.23	3.58
	1.32	3.1	Watch
	1.3	3.4
	1.31	3.25	Watch
	1.27	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.36)	3.28 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 124.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Basket Landes
71.8%

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
28.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

68.4%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.9%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Basket Landes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)

Tarbes Gespe Bigorre has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Landes than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tarbes Gespe Bigorre than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 66:59

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
14. Djaldi-Tabdi C. (C)	7. Droguet C. (C)
16. Ewodo Y.	25. Fora N.
15. Geiselsoder L.	11. Musa M.
5. Pardon M.	17. Sivka A.
24. Slocum D.	13. Zodia J.
Substitutes
28. Bussiere L.	27. Celerier J.
10. Diallo A.	2. Cooper T.
9. Djekoundade M.	14. Ewodo M.
32. Lacan L.	94. Mendy M.
13. Macquet S.	77. Miyem E.
6. Ndiaye M.	16. Rodriguez C.
42. Treffers K.	8. Strunc I.
Coaches
. Barennes J.	. Gomez F.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. 3rd leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Landes won 3.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Landes is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Landes won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 1372:1239. (average 68.6:62).

Including home matches between the teams, Landes won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 809:691. (average 73.5:62.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Basket Landes
French LFB
14.05.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	51:44 ✺
10.05.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Basket Landes	56:51 ✺
04.05.25	Basket Landes - Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud	56:50 ✺
30.04.25	Charnay Basket Bourgogne Sud - Basket Landes	67:63 ✺
23.04.25	Basket Landes - Lyon	69:61 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLWLW
- Tarbes Gespe Bigorre
French LFB
14.05.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	51:44 ✺
10.05.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Basket Landes	56:51 ✺
04.05.25	Flammes Carolo - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	45:73 ✺
30.04.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Flammes Carolo	56:60 ✺
22.04.25	Bourges Basket - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	79:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.2 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

French LFB
14.05.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	51:44
10.05.25	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Basket Landes	56:51
30.03.25	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	90:64
14.12.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Basket Landes	74:63
05.05.24	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	65:54
02.05.24	Tarbes Gespe Bigorre - Basket Landes	67:62
French Cup Basketball Women
09.03.24	Basket Landes - Tarbes Gespe Bigorre	87:81 OT

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