Match Info

Basketligaen - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 4 May 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Naestved (Naestved)


	Team FOG Næstved		Svendborg Rabbits

	1	2
			Watch
	1.65	2.12	Watch
	1.38	2.83
	1.43	2.67	Watch
	1.73	2.1
	1.47	2.59
	1.66	2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↓ (1.66)	2.39 ↑ (2)

The most likely Over/Under: 175.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team FOG Næstved
60.6%

Svendborg Rabbits
39.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.6%

45.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.1%

42.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team FOG Næstved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Team FOG Næstved's performance.

Svendborg Rabbits has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Svendborg Rabbits might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Team FOG Næstved than the current prediction. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Svendborg Rabbits than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bajema C.	12. Heede-Andersen A. (C)
8. Harris T.	13. Kot A.
35. Searls V.	5. Nagle J.
40. Trumper S.	45. Saylor D.
24. Worster R.	11. Willingham K.
Substitutes
23. Ajayi P.	9. Hockerup D.
33. Beier-Christiansen A.	49. Jelle W.
15. Christensen L.	1. Owolabi K.
7. Jean-Baptiste D. (C)	7. Sorensen M.
0. Okeke I.	18. Veljic B.
12. Pedersen K.	8. Vogel G.
3. Tabe S.	2. Willingham M.
Coaches
. Pavlakovich D.	. Andersen M.

Preview

Series tied 1-1. Third leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 3.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 1853:1774. (average 92.7:88.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Næstved won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 946:859. (average 94.6:85.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
1	Svendborg	5	4	1	446:394	8
2	Team FOG Naestved	3	3	0	308:195	6

Last Results with these Odds

Svendborg Rabbits - the odds 2 are the expected chance of winning is 45.36%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team FOG Næstved
Danish Basketligaen
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75 ✺
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101 ✺
20.04.26	Horsens - Team FOG Næstved	103:82 ✺
17.04.26	Copenhagen Wolfpack - Team FOG Næstved	98:104 OT ✺
10.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	61:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLLWL
- Svendborg Rabbits
Danish Basketligaen
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75 ✺
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101 ✺
20.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Bakken Bears	85:69 ✺
17.04.26	Randers Cimbria - Svendborg Rabbits	96:78 ✺
09.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Copenhagen Wolfpack	73:68 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
30.04.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	63:75
27.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	88:101
30.03.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	92:90
12.03.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	83:86
28.12.25	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	97:96
Danish Cup Basketball
20.12.25	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	83:69
Danish Basketligaen
12.11.25	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	106:78

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