Match Info

Basketligaen - Play Offs - Final

Date: 25 May 2026, Monday

Location: Arena Naestved (Naestved)


	Team FOG Næstved		Bakken Bears

	1	2
			Watch
	2.4	1.5	Watch
	2.63	1.43
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.6	1.47
	2.59	1.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↓ (2.74)	1.47 ↑ (1.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 182.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Team FOG Næstved
36.8%

Bakken Bears
63.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

66.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

60.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Team FOG Næstved has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Bakken Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Team FOG Næstved than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bakken Bears than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Næstved will win (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 90:93

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bajema C.	1. Chenery T.
8. Harris T.	11. DuBose I.
35. Searls V.	8. Jukic D. (C)
3. Tabe S.	25. Rombley S.
24. Worster R.	9. Vinther M.
Substitutes
23. Ajayi P.	5. Ates F.
33. Beier-Christiansen A.	6. Bloch W.
15. Christensen L.	21. Deen D.
7. Jean-Baptiste D. (C)	19. Edwards K.
0. Okeke I.	10. Jorgensen O.
12. Pedersen K.	2. Mollgaard M.
40. Trumper S.	4. Sherry S.
Coaches
. Pavlakovich D.	. Skyler B.

Preview

Bakken Bears leads series 2-1. Fourth leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 1.

Næstved has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Bakken Bears is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Bakken Bears will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Næstved won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 1770:1924. (average 88.5:96.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Næstved won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 782:846. (average 86.9:94).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Team FOG Naestved	3	3	0	308:195	6
3	Bakken Bears	3	3	0	303:223	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Team FOG Næstved
Danish Basketligaen
21.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	98:86 ✺
18.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	81:91 ✺
14.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	92:93 OT ✺
07.05.26	Svendborg Rabbits - Team FOG Næstved	80:95 ✺
04.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Svendborg Rabbits	111:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 LLWWW
- Bakken Bears
Danish Basketligaen
21.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	98:86 ✺
18.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	81:91 ✺
14.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	92:93 OT ✺
04.05.26	Bakken Bears - Horsens	110:67 ✺
30.04.26	Horsens - Bakken Bears	64:103 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Danish Basketligaen
21.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	98:86
18.05.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	81:91
14.05.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	92:93 OT
10.04.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	61:95
19.03.26	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	115:89
16.02.26	Team FOG Næstved - Bakken Bears	110:103
24.10.25	Bakken Bears - Team FOG Næstved	110:105

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