Match Info

Date: 16 February 2022, Wednesday


	Ternopil		Zaporizhya

	1	2
	1.1	5.5
	1.08	5.8
	1.08	7.7
	1.07	7.5
	1.11	5.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.09 ↓ (1.39)	6.49 ↑ (2.81)

The most likely Over/Under: 149.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-13)

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternopil
85.6%

Zaporizhya
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.9%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.1%

32.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternopil has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+18.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ternopil's performance.

Zaporizhya has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Zaporizhya might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ternopil than the current prediction. (-18.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ternopil that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zaporizhya than the current prediction. (+18.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Zaporizhya could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Ternopil - Zaporizhya Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:69

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 10 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ FBU Superleague (Play Offs)).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ternopil won 0.

Ternopil is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Zaporizhya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Zaporizhya could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Ternopil is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Ternopil won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 667-703.

Including matches at home between the teams Ternopil won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 320-315.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- BC Ternopil
Ukrainian FBU Super League
13.02.22	Ternopil - Dnipro	63:84 ✺
11.02.22	Ternopil - Kharkivski Sokoly	76:66 ✺
05.02.22	Kryvbas - Ternopil	65:58 ✺
03.02.22	Mykolaiv - Ternopil	74:72 OT (63:63) ✺
23.01.22	Budivelnyk - Ternopil	89:80 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.2 LWLLL
- BK Zaporizhya
Ukrainian FBU Super League
13.02.22	Zaporizhya - Budivelnyk	69:81 ✺
11.02.22	Zaporizhya - Cherkaski Mavpy	82:86 ✺
07.02.22	Kharkivski Sokoly - Zaporizhya	79:74 ✺
23.01.22	Khimik - Zaporizhya	56:86 ✺
21.01.22	Odesa - Zaporizhya	76:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Ukrainian FBU Super League
19.12.21	Zaporizhya - Ternopil	75:53
15.10.21	Ternopil - Zaporizhya	69:77
19.05.21	Ternopil - Zaporizhya	68:75
16.05.21	Zaporizhya - Ternopil	74:70
14.05.21	Zaporizhya - Ternopil	83:69
01.05.21	Zaporizhya - Ternopil	82:74
05.03.21	Ternopil - Zaporizhya	86:79

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