Match Info

Premier League - Round 11

Date: 18 December 2025, Thursday

Location: Icelandic Glacial hollin (Thorlakshofn)


	Thor Thorl		Grindavík

	1	2
			Watch
	2.95	1.32
	3.21	1.29
	2.92	1.34
	3	1.36
	2.9	1.33	Watch
	2.75	1.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.01)	1.34 ↑ (1.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 183.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thor Thorl
31.2%

Grindavík
68.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

69.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.3%

70.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thor Thorl has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Grindavík has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thor Thorl than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grindavík than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	0%	11.1%

Thor Thorl - Grindavík Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Thor Thorl will win (votes: 8 - 88.9%). Grindavík will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Thor Thorl: 68.4% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +7, OT - Thor Thorl (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Thor Thorl will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 6 Selected Experts predict this event. Thor Thorl (votes: 6 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:96

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Agustsson D.	24. Helgason A.
14. Dzeletovic D.	7. Kane D.
7. Einarsson E. (C)	22. Mortensen D.
1. Perdue I.	45. Semple J.
11. Ross J.	0. Shabazz K.
Substitutes
22. Gunnarsson M.	12. Bragason R.
16. Lanaras R.	56. Coddon I.
5. Lugic L.	8. Gylfason K.
8. Sigurbergsson A.	10. Karason U.
12. Szmiedowicz T.	14. Olafsson O. (C)
3. Thorbergsson S. O.	93. Thorvaldsson A.
27. Torfason B.
Coaches
. Jonsson L.	. Olafsson J.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Thor Thorl won 2.

Thor Thorl has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Grindavík is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Thor Thorl may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Grindavík is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Thor Thorl won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 1873:1801. (average 93.7:90.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Thor Thorl won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 1066:967. (average 96.9:87.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Grindavík - the odds 1.31 are the expected chance of winning is 69.69%, but this team recently wins 100% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thor Thorl
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
12.12.25	Njarðvík - Thor Thorl	92:93 ✺
06.12.25	Armann - Thor Thorl	110:85 ✺
20.11.25	Thor Thorl - Stjarnan	99:97 ✺
14.11.25	Tindastóll - Thor Thorl	96:82 ✺
06.11.25	Thor Thorl - IR Reykjavík	100:98 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WLWLW
- Grindavík Basketball
Icelandic Cup Basketball
14.12.25	Grindavík - Armann	86:77 ✺
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
11.12.25	Grindavík - Armann	105:85 ✺
07.12.25	Stjarnan - Grindavík	118:67 ✺
20.11.25	Grindavík - Tindastóll	91:75 ✺
13.11.25	IR Reykjavík - Grindavík	78:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
11.09.25	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	114:103
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
06.02.25	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	95:104
09.11.24	Grindavík - Thor Thorl	99:70
Club Friendly Basketball
12.09.24	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	111:94
Icelandic Premier League Basketball
08.02.24	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	84:92
09.11.23	Grindavík - Thor Thorl	93:90
30.03.23	Thor Thorl - Grindavík	111:59

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