Match Info

National League - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: SEC Kostanay (Kostanay)


	Tobol Kostanay		Astana 2

	1	X	2
	3.19		1.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.19 (3.19)		1.32 (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 162.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tobol Kostanay
29.3%

Astana 2
70.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.1%

64.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Tobol Kostanay have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

The chances for Astana 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tobol Kostanay than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tobol Kostanay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana 2 than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Astana 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:79

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Flannigan D.	47. Aitkali R.
4. Ilyin P.	10. Desyatnikov A.
5. Kuanov S.	26. Sarsengaliev M.
15. Petrishinets V.	9. Shcherbak V.
10. Valiyev R.	6. Starks T.
Substitutes
18. Bitenov A.	88. Abashidze S.
11. Bykov A.	55. Maydekin A.
9. Junusov A.	1. Motovilov G.
13. Nazmutdinov B.	3. Murzagaliyev R.
34. Sulatanov D.	76. Orazbekov A.
14. Sultanov A.	16. Simonov V.
77. Urazbaev R.

Preview

2nd leg. Astana leads series 1-0.

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Tobol could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Tobol have a series of home games.

In this match Astana 2 is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Tobol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70:93

Including matches at home between the teams Tobol won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 70:93

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tobol Kostanay Basketball
Kazakh National League Basketball
19.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2	70:93 ✺
05.04.25	Ertis Pavlodar - Tobol Kostanay	91:105 ✺
04.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Ertis Pavlodar	104:78 ✺
25.03.25	Tobol Kostanay - Almaty	Tobol Kostanay awarded ✺
24.03.25	Tobol Kostanay - Almaty	92:81 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWW?W
- BC Astana 2
Kazakh National League Basketball
19.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2	70:93 ✺
15.04.25	Astana 2 - Barsy Atyrau	100:66 ✺
14.04.25	Barsy Atyrau - Astana 2	55:77 ✺
12.03.25	Astana 2 - Ertis Pavlodar	82:68 ✺
11.03.25	Astana 2 - Ertis Pavlodar	66:70 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh National League Basketball
19.04.25	Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2	70:93

Tobol Kostanay - Astana 2: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide