Match Info

B.League Premier

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Aoyama Gakuin Memorial Hall (Shibuya City) 🌤️ ...


	Tokyo SunRockers		Nagasaki Velca

	1	2
	1.40	2.75
	1.44	2.48
	1.43	2.83
	1.43	2.75	Watch
	1.35	3.05
	1.47	2.5
	1.45	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.69)	2.72 ↑ (2.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 158.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tokyo SunRockers
65.7%

Nagasaki Velca
34.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.1%

44.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.2%

47.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tokyo SunRockers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tokyo SunRockers's performance.

Nagasaki Velca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nagasaki Velca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tokyo SunRockers than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tokyo SunRockers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagasaki Velca than the current prediction. (+13.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nagasaki Velca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:77

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Alkins R.	34. Aguilar P.
1. Grantham D.	18. Baba Y.
3. Harper J.	7. Brantley J.
8. Hawkinson J.	11. Kumagai K.
21. Yamazaki I.	20. Randolph L.
Substitutes
14. Kano T.	13. Hoshikawa K.
43. Nagayoshi Y.	1. Matsumoto K. (C)
12. Nozaki R.	9. Morikawa M.
13. Tanaka D.	10. Nagano I.
9. Vendrame L. (C)	14. Takahira K.
7. Williams B.	32. Tanaka L.
6. Yamagiwa S.	77. Tsuchiya A.
Coaches
. Shawn D.	. Vickerman D.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SunRockers won 1.

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

SunRockers could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Both teams have recently been through a succession of home fixtures.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, SunRockers has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 571:662 (averaging 71.4:82.8 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for SunRockers against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 304:346 goals (averaging 76:86.5 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo SunRockers
Japan B League Premier
11.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Sendai 89ers	68:70 ✺
09.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Toyama Grouses	90:96 OT ✺
07.10.26	Shiga Lakestars - Tokyo SunRockers	85:92 ✺
04.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Akita Northern Happinets	86:76 ✺
03.10.26	Tokyo SunRockers - Akita Northern Happinets	90:63 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LLWWW
- Nagasaki Velca
EASL Basketball
14.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Jeonju KCC Egis	83:98 ✺
Japan B League Premier
12.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Kobe Storks	85:69 ✺
10.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Gunma Crane Thunders	70:59 ✺
08.10.26	Nagasaki Velca - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	74:71 ✺
04.10.26	Kyoto Hannaryz - Nagasaki Velca	90:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 LWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League Premier
21.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	85:71
20.12.25	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	102:70
19.10.25	Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca	69:92
18.10.25	Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca	76:85
05.10.24	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	53:58
04.10.24	Nagasaki Velca - Tokyo SunRockers	76:68
22.10.23	Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca	74:91

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Tokyo SunRockers
Japan B League Premier
31.10.26	Sendai 89ers - Tokyo SunRockers	✺
- Nagasaki Velca
Japan B League Premier
31.10.26	Kobe Storks - Nagasaki Velca	✺

Tokyo SunRockers - Nagasaki Velca