Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 30 November 2022, Wednesday


	Toledo Rockets		Richmond Spiders

	1	2
	1.47	2.75
	1.47	2.75
	1.47	2.7
	1.44	2.6
	1.47	2.78
	1.44	2.62
	1.51	2.42	Watch
	1.5	2.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↓ (1.67)	2.62 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 146.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toledo Rockets
64.1%

Richmond Spiders
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.6%

44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

57.3%

42.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toledo Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toledo Rockets's performance.

Richmond Spiders has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Richmond Spiders might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Rockets than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo Rockets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Richmond Spiders than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Richmond Spiders could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toledo Rockets - Richmond Spiders Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 76:71

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Preview

Toledo is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Richmond is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Richmond could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Richmond have a series of home games.

Toledo will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Toledo to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Toledo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 135-148.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toledo Rockets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
23.11.22	Northern Kentucky Norse - Toledo Rockets	69:82 ✺
22.11.22	East Carolina Pirates - Toledo Rockets	75:86 ✺
21.11.22	UMKC Kangaroos - Toledo Rockets	83:71 ✺
16.11.22	Toledo Rockets - Oakland Golden Grizzlies	112:90 ✺
11.11.22	Toledo Rockets - UAB Blazers	93:85 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WWLWW
- Richmond Spiders basketball
NCAA College Basketball
22.11.22	Richmond Spiders - Temple Owls	61:49 ✺
21.11.22	Richmond Spiders - Syracuse Orange	71:74 OT (63:63) ✺
17.11.22	Richmond Spiders - Wichita State Shockers	53:56 ✺
14.11.22	Charleston Cougars - Richmond Spiders	92:90 OT (81:81) ✺
11.11.22	Richmond Spiders - Northern Iowa Panthers	68:55 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
11.12.21	Richmond Spiders - Toledo Rockets	72:69
NIT
17.03.21	Richmond Spiders - Toledo Rockets	76:66

Toledo Rockets - Richmond Spiders: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide