Match Info

NCAA

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday


	Toledo Rockets		Troy Trojans

	1	2
	2.2	1.71
	2.17	1.64
	1.61	2.14	Watch
	2.07	1.69
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.01 ↓ (2.7)	1.8 ↑ (1.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toledo Rockets
47.1%

Troy Trojans
52.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

35.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

64.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toledo Rockets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toledo Rockets's performance.

Troy Trojans has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Troy Trojans might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toledo Rockets than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toledo Rockets that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troy Trojans than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Troy Trojans could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Toledo Rockets - Troy Trojans Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Toledo will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Troy will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +5, OT - Toledo (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Toledo (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:83

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Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Troy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Toledo has had a series of home games.

Recently, Troy has had a series of away games.

Troy might have a minor edge in this game.

We predict that Toledo will win today's game, with odds of 2.59.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Toledo won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 74:84.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toledo Rockets basketball
NCAA College Basketball
19.11.25	Toledo Rockets - Youngstown State Penguins	92:75 ✺
15.11.25	Toledo Rockets - Detroit Mercy Titans	90:83 ✺
11.11.25	Wright State Raiders - Toledo Rockets	71:81 ✺
08.11.25	Toledo Rockets - Marshall Thundering Herd	73:85 ✺
03.11.25	Toledo Rockets - South Alabama Jaguars	74:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 WWWLL
- Troy Trojans basketball
NCAA College Basketball
20.11.25	USC Trojans - Troy Trojans	107:106 OT ✺
18.11.25	San Diego State Aztecs - Troy Trojans	107:108 OT ✺
16.11.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Troy Trojans	94:85 ✺
14.11.25	Loyola Marymount Lions - Troy Trojans	74:63 ✺
07.11.25	Furman Paladins - Troy Trojans	61:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.5 LWLLW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
04.11.24	Troy Trojans - Toledo Rockets	84:74

Toledo Rockets - Troy Trojans: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide