Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 28

Date: 24 April 2026, Friday

Location: Arena Torun (Toruń)

Referee: Nowak K. (Pol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 1, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Toruń		Górnik Wałbrzych

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.5	2.35
	1.6	2.1
	1.66	2.29
	1.68	2.08	Watch
	1.62	2.1
	1.65	2.18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.61 ↑ (1.6)	2.21 ↑ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toruń
58%

Górnik Wałbrzych
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

43%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toruń has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Górnik Wałbrzych has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toruń that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Górnik Wałbrzych than the current prediction. (+5.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Górnik Wałbrzych could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Toruń - Górnik Wałbrzych Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Toruń will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Górnik Wałbrzych will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:85

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cousins I.	21. Bojanowski M.
77. Kulig D. (C)	0. Cabbil Jr L.
11. Langovic A.	22. Jogela T.
0. Smith A.	1. Taylor R.
4. Szlachetka M.	91. Wyka D. (C)
Substitutes
7. Brenk A.	15. Anderson A.
8. Kenig M.	41. Kulka G.
12. Kunc A.	16. Lapeta A.
10. Lipinski M.	24. Marchewka K.
2. Persons T.	25. Puchalski M.
Coaches
. Subotic S.	. Adamek A.

Preview

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Recently, Toruń has had a series of away games.

Recently, Górnik Wałbrzych has had a series of home games.

Toruń will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Toruń won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 236:226. (average 78.7:75.3).

Including home match between the teams, Toruń won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 102:85.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
11	Gornik Walbrzych	1	0	1	87:88	1
14	Torun	1	0	1	85:104	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Twarde Pierniki Toruń
Polish Basket Liga
18.04.26	Trefl Sopot - Toruń	92:72 ✺
10.04.26	Toruń - Dziki Warszawa	82:83 ✺
29.03.26	Zielona Góra - Toruń	88:90 ✺
22.03.26	Anwil Włocławek - Toruń	87:98 ✺
15.03.26	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Toruń	77:75 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.1 LLWWL
- Górnik Wałbrzych Basketball
Polish Basket Liga
18.04.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Start Lublin	81:86 ✺
12.04.26	Legia Warsaw - Górnik Wałbrzych	93:68 ✺
04.04.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	97:76 ✺
26.03.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Dąbrowa Górnicza	73:103 ✺
22.03.26	Górnik Wałbrzych - Asseco Prokom Gdynia	103:97 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
27.12.25	Górnik Wałbrzych - Toruń	64:71
11.04.25	Toruń - Górnik Wałbrzych	102:85
12.12.24	Górnik Wałbrzych - Toruń	77:63

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