Match Info

POLAND: Basket Liga - Round 20

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Arena Torun (Toruń)

Referee: Pietrzak J. (Pol)


	Toruń		Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński

	1	2
	1.53	2.4	Watch
	1.48	2.4
	1.51	2.33	Watch
	1.65	2.24
	1.53	2.49	Watch
	1.53	2.38
	1.51	2.49
	1.51	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↑ (1.38)	2.38 ↓ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.75

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-4)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toruń
60.9%

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
39.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.2%

32.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toruń has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Toruń than the current prediction. (+6.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Toruń, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński than the current prediction. (-6.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	0%	40%

Toruń - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Toruń will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Spójnia will win (votes: 2 - 40%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:80

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Benson B.	31. Borowski K.
18. Gaddefors V.	25. Gordon W.
31. Kaminski G.	5. Johnson M.
1. Myles D.	10. Martinez J.
2. Tomaszewski W.	8. Muhammad L.
Substitutes
0. Abu A.	3. Hensler M.
21. Diduszko Bartosz . (C)	86. Kikowski P. (C)
3. Ertel M.	7. Kowalczyk S.
10. Grochowski I.	11. Langovic A.
27. Prokopowicz H.	16. Slupinski D.
6. Sowinski P.	32. Yehonatan Y.
9. Wilczek D.
Coaches
. Subotic S.	. Raczynski M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toruń won 3.

Toruń is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Spójnia is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Toruń have a series of guest games.

Recently Spójnia have a series of home games.

Toruń will have a small advantage in this match.

Our prediction for today's Toruń to win the game is with odds 1.53.

Last 13 head-to-head matches Toruń won 10 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 1120:1062 (average 86.2:81.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Toruń won 5 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 547:516 (average 91.2:86).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Twarde Pierniki Toruń
Polish Basket Liga
28.02.25	Czarni Słupsk - Toruń	83:89 ✺
07.02.25	Dziki Warszawa - Toruń	86:98 ✺
30.01.25	Toruń - Zielona Góra	83:79 ✺
26.01.25	Start Lublin - Toruń	79:71 ✺
16.01.25	Dąbrowa Górnicza - Toruń	98:101 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WWWLW
- Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński
Polish Basket Liga
01.03.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Anwil Włocławek	68:83 ✺
08.02.25	Stal Ostrów Wielkopolski - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	75:89 ✺
01.02.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Trefl Sopot	69:77 ✺
26.01.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Czarni Słupsk	83:96 ✺
18.01.25	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Dziki Warszawa	66:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LWLLL

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
02.11.24	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Toruń	67:79
01.02.24	Toruń - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	72:97
22.10.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Toruń	73:84
Club Friendly Basketball
16.09.23	Toruń - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	96:91
Polish Basket Liga
07.04.23	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Toruń	92:82
11.12.22	Toruń - Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński	92:88
21.01.22	Spójnia Stargard Szczeciński - Toruń	80:82

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