Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • NBL1 North Women - Play Offs - Final
  • Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday
  • Where to Watch on TV:
  • australiaAustraliaNbl+
    Townsville Flames Mackay Meteorettes
    Townsville Flames Mackay Meteorettes
    1 X 2
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    betsson 1.88 1.73
    Bet_in_Asia 1.89 1.85
    Williamhill 2.60 1.41
    BetNow 1.93 1.68 Watch and Bet Watch
    Bovada 1.92 1.72
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (1.9)

    1.68
    (1.74)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 168.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)

    • The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Townsville Flames
    45.1%
    Mackay Meteorettes
    54.9%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    47.9% 52.1%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    50.7% 49.3%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Townsville Flames has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • Mackay Meteorettes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Townsville Flames than the current prediction. (+5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Townsville Flames, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mackay Meteorettes than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mackay Meteorettes, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
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    Predictions

  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:85
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    Preview

  • Series tied 1-1. Third leg.
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 3.
  • Now, both teams are in good form.
  • Recently, Townsville has had a series of home games.
  • Recently, Mackay has had a series of away games.
  • In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Townsville won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1122:1092. (average 80.1:78).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Townsville won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 737:696. (average 81.9:77.3).
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    Form
    - easy match; - difficult match;
    - Townsville Flames Women
    Australian NBL1 North Women
    08.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 82:76
    07.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 78:107
    01.08.26 Cairns Dolphins - Townsville Flames 90:94
    24.07.26 Townsville Flames - Southern Districts Spartans 85:83
    18.07.26 Townsville Flames - Rockhampton Cyclones 111:70
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7
    WLWWW
    - Mackay Meteorettes Women
    Australian NBL1 North Women
    08.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 82:76
    07.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 78:107
    01.08.26 Logan Thunder - Mackay Meteorettes 87:88
    25.07.26 Mackay Meteorettes - Northside Wizards 94:87
    18.07.26 Gold Coast Rollers - Mackay Meteorettes 69:84
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5
    LWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    Australian NBL1 North Women
    08.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 82:76
    07.08.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 78:107
    03.07.26 Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames 78:88
    22.05.26 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 83:95
    04.07.25 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 70:67
    10.05.25 Mackay Meteorettes - Townsville Flames 85:74
    11.05.24 Townsville Flames - Mackay Meteorettes 101:73