Match Info

B2.League

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Toyama City Gymnasium (Toyama)


	Toyama Grouses		Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano

	1	2
	1.25	3.5
	1.26	3.3	Watch
	1.25	3.6	Watch
	1.33	3.25
	1.31	3.25	Watch
	1.26	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.42)	3.37 ↑ (2.56)

The most likely Over/Under: 163.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toyama Grouses
72.5%

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
27.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

35.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toyama Grouses has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toyama Grouses's performance.

Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Toyama Grouses than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Toyama Grouses that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
2. Fujinaga Y. (C)	2. Buford P.
1. Kennedy T.	15. Chambers A.
20. Ueda S.	11. Ishikawa K. (C)
50. Watt M.	14. Toyoshige K.
30. White A.	34. Watanabe H.
Substitutes
13. Aquino M.	3. Donley E.
9. Mito T.	4. Kodama T.
28. Nozaki Y.	12. Kurihara L.
24. Takahashi K.	50. Marshall W.
17. Tanaka H.	31. Mitsui K.
11. Uto N.	1. Yamazaki R.
44. Yoneyama J.
Coaches
. Gomez D.	. Katsuhisa M.

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Toyama won 2.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match Toyama is a favorite.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Toyama won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 1510:1585 (average 75.5:79.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Toyama won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 789:831 (average 71.7:75.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Toyama Grouses
Japan B League One
05.04.25	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	67:80 ✺
30.03.25	Altiri Chiba - Toyama Grouses	101:95 ✺
29.03.25	Altiri Chiba - Toyama Grouses	97:72 ✺
26.03.25	Aomori Watts - Toyama Grouses	79:93 ✺
23.03.25	Toyama Grouses - Veltex Shizuoka	88:77 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 LLLWW
- Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano
Japan B League One
05.04.25	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	67:80 ✺
30.03.25	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	72:90 ✺
29.03.25	Fukushima Firebonds - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	78:53 ✺
26.03.25	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Fukui Blowinds	80:69 ✺
23.03.25	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Altiri Chiba	71:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan B League One
05.04.25	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	67:80
22.12.24	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Toyama Grouses	96:89 OT
21.12.24	Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano - Toyama Grouses	92:96
09.11.24	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	66:74
09.11.24	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	80:78
Japan B League Premier
21.04.24	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	73:74
20.04.24	Toyama Grouses - Shinshu Brave Warriors Nagano	62:71

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