Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 3

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Poland	19:00	Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Trefl Sopot		King Wilki Morskie Szczecin

	1	2
	2.4	1.53
	2.30	1.53
	2.3	1.5	Watch
	2.76	1.45
	2.43	1.5	Watch
	2.7	1.43
	2.59	1.47
	2.55	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.21)	1.49 ↓ (1.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.25

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
37.3%

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
62.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.2%

58.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.9%

53.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

King Wilki Morskie Szczecin has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefl Sopot than the current prediction. (+9.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Trefl Sopot, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for King Wilki Morskie Szczecin than the current prediction. (-9.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for King Wilki Morskie Szczecin, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	0%	16.7%

Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 5 - 83.3%). Szczecin will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Trefl Sopot (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anderson T.	12. Gielo T. (C)
52. Gilmore C.	0. Porter Z.
3. Kiejzik S.	19. Sehnal O.
55. Schenk J. (C)	15. Witlinski M.
21. Zapala S.	28. Zolnierewicz P.
Substitutes
20. Blomgren P.	11. Chassang A.
24. Prochorowicz K.	31. Kostrzewski M.
33. Rotegard T.	2. Majcherek A.
12. Simanic S.	22. McCaffery P.
15. Twigg D.	21. Reynolds N.
	27. Ucieszynski J.
	6. Wozniak F.
Coaches
. Roszyk K.	. Majcherek M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 4.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Szczecin may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Trefl Sopot has faced a series of away games on the road.

Szczecin is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Trefl Sopot has recorded 12 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1692:1626 (averaging 84.6:81.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trefl Sopot against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 5 losses, with 991:985 goals (averaging 82.6:82.1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
6	Szczecin	4	3	1	334:302	7
16	Trefl Sopot	4	0	4	308:377	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Basket Liga
11.10.26	Asseco Prokom Gdynia - Trefl Sopot	96:82 ✺
02.10.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	63:102 ✺
Polish Super Cup Basketball
26.09.26	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	93:89 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	67:86 ✺
18.09.26	Czarni Słupsk - Trefl Sopot	87:91 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLLWW
- King Wilki Morskie Szczecin
FIBA Europe Cup
13.10.26	Vienna Basket - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	96:93 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
10.10.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Śląsk Wrocław	69:82 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
07.10.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Nitra Blue Wings	88:81 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
03.10.26	Toruń - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	85:104 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	67:86 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	67:86
Polish Basket Liga
28.03.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	85:96
23.11.25	Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	84:74
21.05.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	66:94
19.05.25	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	91:90
16.05.25	Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	72:66
14.05.25	Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin	85:84

Trefl Sopot - King Wilki Morskie Szczecin