Match Info

Basket Liga - Round 1

Date: 2 October 2026, Friday

Location: Ergo Arena (Gdansk)

Where to Watch on TV:


Poland	Polsat Sport 2, Polsat Sport Extra 4


	Trefl Sopot		Dziki Warszawa

	1	2
	1.83	1.83
	1.80	1.87
	1.84	1.8	Watch
	1.93	1.88
	1.89	1.83	Watch
	1.89	1.84
	1.87	1.87
	1.89	1.82
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↑ (1.85)	1.84 ↑ (1.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 174.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-2)

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Trefl Sopot
49.7%

Dziki Warszawa
50.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.3%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Trefl Sopot has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Dziki Warszawa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	0%	33.3%

Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Trefl Sopot will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Dziki Warszawa will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:86

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Anderson T.	2. Ashton-Langford M.
9. Marchewka K.	3. Girard III J.
33. Rotegard T.	8. Kempa K.
55. Schenk J. (C)	21. Krasuski M.
21. Zapala S.	23. Osunniyi O.
Substitutes
20. Blomgren P.	22. Adetukasi T.
3. Kiejzik S.	5. Aleksandrowicz M. (C)
5. Lacz F.	45. Frackiewicz L.
24. Prochorowicz K.	13. Jackson Q.
12. Simanic S.	11. Kaminski G.
15. Twigg D.	1. Luke A.
Coaches
. Roszyk K.	. Legovich M.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trefl Sopot won 1.

Performances by Dziki Warszawa have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Trefl Sopot has recorded 6 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 807:843 (averaging 80.7:84.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Trefl Sopot against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with 414:444 goals (averaging 82.8:88.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
5	Dziki Warszawa	1	1	0	102:63	2
16	Trefl Sopot	1	0	1	63:102	1

Last Results with these Odds

Trefl Sopot - the odds 1.85 are the expected chance of winning is 49.32%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.

Dziki Warszawa - the odds 1.8 are the expected chance of winning is 50.68%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Trefl Sopot
Polish Super Cup Basketball
26.09.26	Legia Warsaw - Trefl Sopot	93:89 ✺
Club Friendly Basketball
20.09.26	King Wilki Morskie Szczecin - Trefl Sopot	67:86 ✺
18.09.26	Czarni Słupsk - Trefl Sopot	87:91 ✺
11.09.26	Toruń - Trefl Sopot	100:86 ✺
Polish Basket Liga
21.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	88:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LWWLL
- Dziki Warszawa
Polish Super Cup Basketball
26.09.26	Dziki Warszawa - Zielona Góra	77:81 ✺
Champions League Basketball
20.09.26	Dziki Warszawa - Rasta Vechta	82:93 ✺
19.09.26	Dziki Warszawa - CB Breogán	113:110 ✺
17.09.26	VEF Riga - Dziki Warszawa	95:102 ✺
14.09.26	Opava - Dziki Warszawa	99:116 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.8 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Basket Liga
21.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	88:73
19.05.26	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	85:78
16.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:78
14.05.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	92:107
31.01.26	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	64:104
11.10.25	Dziki Warszawa - Trefl Sopot	80:86
01.05.25	Trefl Sopot - Dziki Warszawa	81:70

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