Match Info

ITALY: LEGA A - ROUND 10

Date: 3 December 2023, Sunday


	Treviso Basket		Brindisi

	1	2
	1.5	2.7	Watch
	1.5	2.5
	1.5	2.6
	1.52	2.63
	1.52	2.63
	1.52	2.6	Watch
	1.5	2.59	Watch
	1.46	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.68)	2.63 ↑ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-5)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
63.6%

Brindisi
36.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.9%

43.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treviso Basket's performance.

Brindisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Brindisi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (-6.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treviso Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brindisi than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Brindisi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Treviso Basket - Brindisi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 83:78

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Treviso won 3.

Treviso has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Brindisi is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Treviso could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Treviso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Treviso won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 677-724.

Including matches at home between the teams Treviso won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 261-266.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.11.23	Basket Pesaro - Treviso Basket	95:76 ✺
19.11.23	Treviso Basket - Napoli Basket	76:79 ✺
11.11.23	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	91:77 ✺
05.11.23	Treviso Basket - Scafati	87:97 ✺
29.10.23	Reggiana - Treviso Basket	90:83 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Basket Brindisi
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.11.23	Brindisi - Virtus Bologna	83:75 ✺
18.11.23	Basket Trento - Brindisi	81:71 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
15.11.23	Brindisi - Tallinna Kalev	82:69 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
12.11.23	Venezia - Brindisi	79:71 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.11.23	Basket Zaragoza - Brindisi	91:72 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
08.09.23	Brindisi - Treviso Basket	72:80
Italian Lega A Basketball
26.03.23	Brindisi - Treviso Basket	107:84
18.12.22	Treviso Basket - Brindisi	75:68
16.04.22	Treviso Basket - Brindisi	96:90
19.12.21	Brindisi - Treviso Basket	99:95 OT (86:86)
07.02.21	Treviso Basket - Brindisi	90:108
18.10.20	Brindisi - Treviso Basket	99:83

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