Match Info

ITALY: Lega A - Round 7

Date: 10 November 2024, Sunday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)

Referee: Valleriani D. (Ita)


	Treviso Basket		Scafati

	1	2
	1.5	2.5
	1.43	2.85
	1.4	2.88
	1.44	2.81	Watch
	1.44	2.85
	1.43	2.86	Watch
	1.43	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↓ (1.75)	2.8 ↑ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 170.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
66.1%

Scafati
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

45.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8%

45.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Treviso Basket's performance.

Scafati has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Scafati might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (-11.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Treviso Basket that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Scafati than the current prediction. (+11.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Scafati could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Treviso Basket - Scafati Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 88:82

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
0. Bowman K.	3. Sangiovanni P.
13. De Marchi G.	9. Sorokas P.
8. Guidolin C.	8. Ulaneo S.
7. Harrison D.	10. Ursini F.
9. Torresani D.	6. Zanelli A.
Substitutes
32. Alston J.	47. Akin D.
55. Macura J. P.	20. Cinciarini A.
14. Mascolo B.	77. Hruban V.
24. Mezzanotte A.	52. McRae J.
31. Olisevicius O.	11. Miaschi F.
33. Paulicap P.	12. Pinkins K.
44. Spinazze T.	30. Stewart E.
Coaches
. Vitucci F.	. Nicola M.

Preview

A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 14 and 11).

Treviso has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Scafati is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Treviso could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Treviso will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Treviso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 341:369 (average 85.3:92.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Treviso won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 176:185 (average 88:92.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.11.24	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	104:97 ✺
26.10.24	Treviso Basket - Trieste	95:100 ✺
20.10.24	Treviso Basket - Basket Trento	76:83 ✺
12.10.24	Reggiana - Treviso Basket	88:64 ✺
05.10.24	Treviso Basket - Trapani	71:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Scafati Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
03.11.24	Scafati - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:77 ✺
27.10.24	Venezia - Scafati	75:69 ✺
20.10.24	Scafati - Olimpia Milano	78:83 ✺
13.10.24	Trapani - Scafati	101:87 ✺
06.10.24	Scafati - Basket Brescia	93:95 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
27.01.24	Scafati - Treviso Basket	95:93
05.11.23	Treviso Basket - Scafati	87:97
19.03.23	Treviso Basket - Scafati	89:88
04.12.22	Scafati - Treviso Basket	89:72

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