Match Info

Lega A - Round 17

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: PalaVerde (Villorba)

Referee: Bettini G. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	LBA TV


	Treviso Basket		Basket Trento

	1	2
			Watch
	2.3	1.6	Watch
	2.42	1.57
	2.4	1.55	Watch
	2.35	1.62
	2.28	1.66	Watch
	2.3	1.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (1.95)	1.59 ↓ (1.74)

The most likely Over/Under: 169.75

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 4.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Treviso Basket
40.5%

Basket Trento
59.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.2%

52.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Treviso Basket has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Treviso Basket's form might have worsened.

Basket Trento has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Basket Trento's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Treviso Basket than the current prediction. (+10%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Treviso Basket, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Basket Trento than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Basket Trento, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	0%	23.1%

Treviso Basket - Basket Trento Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

H/A, 1Q - Trento (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 170.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -3.5, OT - Trento (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Treviso Basket will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 62.24% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Treviso Basket will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Treviso (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Trento (votes: 3 - 37.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:87

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
5. Abdur-Rahkman M.	22. Aldridge P.
12. Pinkins K.	8. Jogela M.
43. Radosevic L.	3. Jones D.
9. Torresani D.	21. Mawugbe S.
2. Weber B.	1. Steward D.
Substitutes
0. Cappelletti A.	11. Airhienbuwa T.
15. Chillo M.	99. Battle K.
8. Guerrini M.	7. Cheickh Niang P.
22. Guidolin C.	10. Forray A.
11. Miaschi F.	68. Hassan P.
44. Spinazze T.	23. Jakimovski A.
	5. Vergnaghi G.
Coaches
. Vitucci F.	. Galbiati P.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 10).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 1.

Treviso is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Trento has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Treviso may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Trento is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 17 head-to-head matches, Treviso won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 1349:1363. (average 79.4:80.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Treviso won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 571:537. (average 81.6:76.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
2	Treviso	2	2	0	202:184	4
5	Trento	3	2	1	247:237	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Treviso Basket
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.26	Virtus Bologna - Treviso Basket	88:77 ✺
11.01.26	Treviso Basket - Varese	86:83 ✺
05.01.26	Venezia - Treviso Basket	87:66 ✺
28.12.25	Treviso Basket - Dinamo Sassari	89:92 ✺
21.12.25	Udine - Treviso Basket	86:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LWLLL
- Basket Trento
Eurocup
21.01.26	Lietkabelis - Basket Trento	93:94 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
17.01.26	Basket Trento - Vanoli-Braga Cremona	85:94 ✺
Eurocup
13.01.26	Basket Trento - Panionios	88:87 ✺
07.01.26	Türk Telekom BK - Basket Trento	92:86 ✺
Italian Lega A Basketball
04.01.26	Basket Trento - Trieste	89:87 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Lega A Basketball
22.11.25	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	81:68
Club Friendly Basketball
13.09.25	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	98:86
Italian Lega A Basketball
18.01.25	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	101:86
20.10.24	Treviso Basket - Basket Trento	76:83
Club Friendly Basketball
14.09.24	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	81:85
Italian Lega A Basketball
11.02.24	Basket Trento - Treviso Basket	82:85
17.12.23	Treviso Basket - Basket Trento	86:78

Upcoming Matches