Match Info

EUROPE: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE - WINNERS STAGE - ROUND 1

Date: 23 January 2024, Tuesday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)


	UCAM Murcia		Hapoel Holon

	1	2
	1.12	5.75	Watch
	1.16	4.5
	1.14	4.95	Watch
	1.17	5.48
	1.17	4.5
	1.16	5.05	Watch
	1.14	4.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.15 ↓ (1.4)	5.02 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 159.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-11)

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
81.3%

Hapoel Holon
18.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.6%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4%

32.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Hapoel Holon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Hapoel Holon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hapoel Holon than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Hapoel Holon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

UCAM Murcia - Hapoel Holon Predictions

Users Predictions: UCAM Murcia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:75

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Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Hapoel Holon could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Murcia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 159-151.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 78-76.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
20.01.24	Gran Canaria 2014 - UCAM Murcia	91:80 ✺
14.01.24	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	73:61 ✺
06.01.24	BC Andorra - UCAM Murcia	98:73 ✺
29.12.23	Obradoiro CAB - UCAM Murcia	79:87 ✺
22.12.23	UCAM Murcia - Unicaja Malaga	65:88 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 LWLWL
- Hapoel Holon
Israeli Basketball Super League
20.01.24	Hapoel Holon - Bnei Herzliya	87:92 ✺
Champions League Basketball
16.01.24	Hapoel Holon - Oostende	78:72 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
13.01.24	Hapoel Holon - Hapoel Galil Elyon	84:72 ✺
Champions League Basketball
09.01.24	Oostende - Hapoel Holon	71:61 ✺
Israeli Basketball Super League
06.01.24	Maccabi Ironi Ramat Gan - Hapoel Holon	76:65 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Champions League Basketball
12.12.17	Hapoel Holon - UCAM Murcia	75:81
11.10.17	UCAM Murcia - Hapoel Holon	78:76

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