Match Info

SPAIN: ACB - ROUND 11

Date: 10 December 2022, Saturday

Location: Palacio de Deportes de Murcia (Murcia)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	Eleven Sports


	UCAM Murcia		Real Betis

	1	2
	1.25	4.2	Watch
	1.28	3.7
	1.29	3.6
	1.25	3.7
	1.29	3.8
	1.3	3.6
	1.31	3.58	Watch
	1.26	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.32)	3.74 ↑ (2.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 164.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCAM Murcia
74.5%

Real Betis
25.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

69%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCAM Murcia's performance.

Real Betis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Real Betis might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCAM Murcia than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCAM Murcia that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Betis than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Real Betis could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCAM Murcia - Real Betis Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 86:78

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Murcia won 4.

The competitors look crappy now.

Murcia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Murcia is a favorite.

Last 14 head-to-head matches Murcia won 12 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1232-1081.

Including matches at home between the teams Murcia won 6 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 585-510.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCAM Murcia
Champions League Basketball
07.12.22	Strasbourg - UCAM Murcia	82:70 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.12.22	Baskonia - UCAM Murcia	102:73 ✺
27.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Obradoiro CAB	80:84 ✺
Champions League Basketball
23.11.22	UCAM Murcia - Falco Szombathely	81:74 ✺
Spanish ACB League
20.11.22	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	93:57 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 LLLWL
- Real Betis Basketball
Spanish ACB League
04.12.22	Granada - Real Betis	66:76 OT (60:60) ✺
27.11.22	Real Betis - Real Madrid	55:73 ✺
19.11.22	Real Betis - Basket Zaragoza	67:83 ✺
06.11.22	Baskonia - Real Betis	107:103 OT (91:91) ✺
30.10.22	Unicaja Malaga - Real Betis	106:60 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly Basketball
09.09.22	Real Betis - UCAM Murcia	100:79
Spanish ACB League
02.04.22	Real Betis - UCAM Murcia	84:93
24.09.21	UCAM Murcia - Real Betis	88:66
15.04.21	Real Betis - UCAM Murcia	55:84
10.10.20	UCAM Murcia - Real Betis	74:72
27.09.19	UCAM Murcia - Real Betis	90:78
08.04.18	Real Betis - UCAM Murcia	87:102

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