Match Info

ACB - Round 29

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Movistar Arena (Madrid)

Referee: Sanchez C. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


Australia	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Italy	DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Spain	DAZN Espana
United-kingdom	DAZN


	Real Madrid		UCAM Murcia

	1	2
	1.34	3	Watch
	1.38	3
	1.3	3.4	Watch
	1.32	3.51
	1.43	2.70	Watch
	1.36	2.9
	1.38	3.13	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.36 ↑ (1.14)	3.09 ↓ (5.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 172.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-6)

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Madrid
69.5%

UCAM Murcia
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

82.1%

17.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Madrid has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Real Madrid's form might have worsened.

UCAM Murcia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting UCAM Murcia's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Real Madrid will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Murcia will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 89:83

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
6. Abalde A.	2. Raieste S.
8. Okeke C.	30. Martin K.
25. Len A.	15. Cate E.
11. Hezonja M.	5. DeJulius D.
12. Maledon T.	12. Radebaugh J.
Substitutes
13. Almansa Perez I.	0. Cacok D.
24. Feliz A.	21. Diagne M.
16. Garuba U.	13. Falk W.
1. Kramer D.	1. Forrest M.
23. Llull S.	50. Hands J.
0. Lyles T.	99. Nakic T.
9. Procida G.	8. Sant-Roos H.
Coaches
. Scariolo S.	. Alonso S.

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ ACB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 5.

Real Madrid is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Murcia is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Murcia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Real Madrid has had a series of home games.

In this match, Real Madrid is considered a favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Real Madrid won 18 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1696:1469. (average 84.8:73.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Real Madrid won 11 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1051:890. (average 87.6:74.2).

Outrights of Spanish ACB League for now

Real Madrid: 51.15% Murcia: 1.59%

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
3	Real Madrid	2	2	0	203:194	4
9	Murcia	2	1	1	177:178	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Madrid basketball
Euroleague
01.05.26	Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv	102:75 ✺
29.04.26	Real Madrid - Hapoel Tel Aviv	86:82 ✺
Spanish ACB League
25.04.26	Valencia - Real Madrid	82:96 ✺
19.04.26	Real Madrid - Canarias	90:95 ✺
Euroleague
16.04.26	Real Madrid - Crvena Zvezda	103:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WWWLW
- UCAM Murcia
Spanish ACB League
25.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Canarias	86:80 ✺
18.04.26	BC Andorra - UCAM Murcia	89:95 ✺
12.04.26	UCAM Murcia - Granada	107:91 ✺
FIBA Europe Cup
08.04.26	UCAM Murcia - PAOK	89:85 ✺
Spanish ACB League
04.04.26	Joventut Badalona - UCAM Murcia	67:89 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish ACB League
30.12.25	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	80:91
09.03.25	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	80:75
03.11.24	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	64:85
12.06.24	UCAM Murcia - Real Madrid	73:84
10.06.24	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	79:63
08.06.24	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	84:76
Spanish Basketball Cup
15.02.24	Real Madrid - UCAM Murcia	84:79

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