Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	UCF Knights		Samford Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.31	3.55
	1.29	3.65
	1.32	3.4
	1.29	3.3
	1.33	3.44
	1.3	3.4
	1.32	3.14
	1.31	3.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.41)	3.37 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UCF Knights
72%

Samford Bulldogs
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.3%

34.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.4%

34.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UCF Knights has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UCF Knights's performance.

Samford Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Samford Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UCF Knights than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UCF Knights that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samford Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Samford Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UCF Knights - Samford Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 74:67

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Preview

UCF is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Samford is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

UCF could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently UCF have a series of home games.

In this match UCF is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UCF Knights basketball
NCAA College Basketball
27.11.22	UCF Knights - Miami FL Hurricanes	64:66 ✺
23.11.22	UCF Knights - Evansville Purple Aces	76:56 ✺
20.11.22	UCF Knights - Santa Clara Broncos	57:50 ✺
18.11.22	Oklahoma State Cowboys - UCF Knights	56:60 OT (52:52) ✺
14.11.22	UCF Knights - Western Illinois Leathernecks	70:37 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LWWWW
- Samford Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
30.11.22	DePaul Blue Demons - Samford Bulldogs	103:98 OT (89:89) ✺
25.11.22	Samford Bulldogs - Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	76:79 ✺
23.11.22	Samford Bulldogs - Valparaiso Beacons	79:49 ✺
20.11.22	Samford Bulldogs - Texas Southern Tigers	78:63 ✺
17.11.22	Alabama A&M Bulldogs - Samford Bulldogs	64:84 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.7 LLWWW

UCF Knights - Samford Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide