Match Info

NCAA

Date: 9 December 2025, Tuesday


	UMBC Retrievers		Buffalo Bulls

	1	2
	2.35	1.63
	2.29	1.58
	2.23	1.66
	2.27	1.58	Watch
	2.3	1.6
	2.14	1.64
	2.3	1.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.27 ↑ (1.92)	1.62 ↓ (1.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.00

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-3)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

UMBC Retrievers
41.6%

Buffalo Bulls
58.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

52.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.1%

51.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMBC Retrievers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that UMBC Retrievers's form might have worsened.

Buffalo Bulls has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Buffalo Bulls's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (+6.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for UMBC Retrievers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Buffalo Bulls than the current prediction. (-6.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Buffalo Bulls, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

UMBC Retrievers - Buffalo Bulls Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. UMBC will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Buffalo will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. UMBC (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 72:75

#ad

Preview

In recent matches, UMBC has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Buffalo is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Buffalo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	Bucknell Bison - UMBC Retrievers	66:73 ✺
03.12.25	Georgetown Hoyas - UMBC Retrievers	90:81 ✺
29.11.25	UMBC Retrievers - Delaware State Hornets	71:57 ✺
19.11.25	George Washington Colonials - UMBC Retrievers	89:52 ✺
16.11.25	UMBC Retrievers - Wagner Seahawks	71:70 OT ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WLWLW
- Buffalo Bulls basketball
NCAA College Basketball
06.12.25	Buffalo Bulls - St. Bonaventure Bonnies	69:77 ✺
29.11.25	Canisius Golden Griffins - Buffalo Bulls	53:71 ✺
26.11.25	Bucknell Bison - Buffalo Bulls	71:73 ✺
24.11.25	Buffalo Bulls - Virginia Military Keydets	78:70 ✺
18.11.25	Buffalo Bulls - Vermont Catamounts	94:90 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWW

UMBC Retrievers - Buffalo Bulls: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide