Match Info

USA: NCAA

Date: 27 November 2024, Wednesday


	UMBC Retrievers		Morgan State Bears

	1	2
	1.3	3.65
	1.3	3.6
	1.29	3.75	Watch
	1.3	3.56
			Watch
	1.29	3.5
	1.31	3.63
	1.29	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.41)	3.63 ↑ (2.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 160.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UMBC Retrievers
73.7%

Morgan State Bears
26.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.1%

32.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

33.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UMBC Retrievers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UMBC Retrievers's performance.

Morgan State Bears has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Morgan State Bears might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UMBC Retrievers than the current prediction. (-7.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UMBC Retrievers that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morgan State Bears than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Morgan State Bears could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UMBC Retrievers - Morgan State Bears Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 84:76

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Preview

Recent matches UMBC is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Morgan State is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

UMBC could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently UMBC have a series of home games.

In this match UMBC is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches UMBC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 155:155 (average 77.5:77.5).

Including matches at home between the teams UMBC won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 75:63

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UMBC Retrievers basketball
NCAA College Basketball
25.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Howard Bison	95:77 ✺
23.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Boston University Terriers	71:75 ✺
19.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Hampton Pirates	68:78 ✺
16.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - St. Peters Peacocks	61:69 ✺
14.11.24	UMBC Retrievers - Coppin State Eagles	92:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 WLLLW
- Morgan State Bears basketball
NCAA College Basketball
24.11.24	Morgan State Bears - Towson Tigers	60:64 ✺
22.11.24	Buffalo Bulls - Morgan State Bears	82:73 ✺
20.11.24	North Carolina A&T Aggies - Morgan State Bears	86:83 ✺
16.11.24	Morgan State Bears - NJIT Highlanders	81:69 ✺
09.11.24	Longwood Lancers - Morgan State Bears	84:66 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
06.12.23	Morgan State Bears - UMBC Retrievers	92:80
10.12.22	UMBC Retrievers - Morgan State Bears	75:63

UMBC Retrievers - Morgan State Bears: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide