Match Info

NCAA

Date: 20 December 2025, Saturday


	UNLV Rebels		Fresno State Bulldogs

	1	2
	1.26	4.1
	1.25	4.1
	1.27	3.5
	1.28	3.38	Watch
	1.22	4.1
	1.29	3.35
	1.4	2.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.28 ↓ (1.4)	3.61 ↑ (2.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 156.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-8)

The best margin for this event is 3.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

UNLV Rebels
73.8%

Fresno State Bulldogs
26.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.1%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65%

35%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

UNLV Rebels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in UNLV Rebels's performance.

Fresno State Bulldogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fresno State Bulldogs might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNLV Rebels than the current prediction. (-8.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with UNLV Rebels that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fresno State Bulldogs than the current prediction. (+8.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fresno State Bulldogs could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 82:74

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Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 4.

UNLV has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Fresno State has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

UNLV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, UNLV has had a series of away games.

In this match, UNLV is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, UNLV won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 1411:1470. (average 70.6:73.5).

Including home matches between the teams, UNLV won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 780:794. (average 70.9:72.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- UNLV Rebels basketball
NCAA College Basketball
13.12.25	UNLV Rebels - Tennessee State Tigers	60:63 ✺
07.12.25	Stanford Cardinal - UNLV Rebels	74:75 ✺
27.11.25	Rutgers Scarlet Knights - UNLV Rebels	80:65 ✺
25.11.25	Alabama Crimson Tide - UNLV Rebels	115:76 ✺
24.11.25	Maryland Terrapins - UNLV Rebels	74:67 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWLLL
- Fresno State Bulldogs basketball
NCAA College Basketball
10.12.25	Cal State Northridge Matadors - Fresno State Bulldogs	89:87 ✺
06.12.25	Arkansas Razorbacks - Fresno State Bulldogs	82:58 ✺
30.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Cal State Bakersfield Roadrunners	71:76 ✺
26.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - Pepperdine Waves	76:53 ✺
21.11.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - New Orleans Privateers	85:76 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

NCAA College Basketball
15.02.25	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	51:52
28.12.24	UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs	87:77
14.02.24	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	65:67
30.01.24	UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs	78:69
03.02.23	UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs	79:84
21.01.23	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	76:63
16.02.22	Fresno State Bulldogs - UNLV Rebels	57:60

UNLV Rebels - Fresno State Bulldogs: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide