Match Info

AmeriCup Women - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Centro de Deportes Colectivos (Santiago de Chile)


	USA W		Canada W

	1	2
	1.25	3.6
	1.19	4.46
			Watch
	1.25	3.77
	1.4	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.4)	3.65 ↑ (2.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 145.00

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-9)

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

USA W
74.1%

Canada W
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.3%

33.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.8%

33.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

USA W has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in USA W's performance.

Canada W has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Canada W might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for USA W than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with USA W that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Canada W than the current prediction. (+7.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Canada W could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

USA W - Canada W Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 78:69

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Beers R.	14. Alexander K. Valencia
7. Blakes M.	2. Colley S. Chartres
8. Booker M.	30. Day Wilson S.
12. Edwards J.	9. Ejim Y.
5. Miles O.	4. Hill S. Kutxabank Araski
Substitutes
15. Crooks A.	7. Becker N. Gran Canaria
6. Hidalgo H.	3. Gibb D.
4. Johnson F.	15. Kyei P. Oregon State
9. Kneepkens G.	10. Potter E.
11. Smith K.	13. Russell M. Louisville
10. Stuelke H.	12. Swords S.
14. Van Slooten G.	8. Wallack T.
Coaches
. Lawson K.	. Fortner N.

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, USA won 4.

USA has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Canada is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

USA could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, USA won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 462:332. (average 77:55.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USA W basketball
AmeriCup Basketball Women
04.07.25	USA W - Dominican Republic W	110:44 ✺
02.07.25	USA W - Mexico W	104:48 ✺
30.06.25	Puerto Rico W - USA W	62:80 ✺
29.06.25	USA W - Colombia W	80:43 ✺
28.06.25	Chile W - USA W	47:108 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWWWW
- Canada W basketball
AmeriCup Basketball Women
04.07.25	Canada W - Colombia W	73:49 ✺
02.07.25	Canada W - Dominican Republic W	82:46 ✺
30.06.25	Brazil W - Canada W	74:65 ✺
29.06.25	Canada W - Argentina W	71:48 ✺
28.06.25	Salvador W - Canada W	34:100 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

AmeriCup Basketball Women
08.07.23	Canada W - USA W	63:67
World Cup Basketball Women
30.09.22	Canada W - USA W	43:83
AmeriCup Basketball Women
29.09.19	Canada W - USA W	46:67
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
12.08.16	Canada W - USA W	51:81
Pan American Games Basketball Women
20.07.15	USA W - Canada W	73:81
Olympic Games - Basketball Women
07.08.12	USA W - Canada W	91:48

USA W - Canada W: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide