Match Info

LFB Women - Round 18

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Pavilhao Sidonio Serpa (Ponta Delgada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	DAZN 3


	União Sportiva		Sporting Lisbon

	1	2
	1.3	2.9
	1.34	2.9	Watch
	1.35	2.81
	1.36	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.5)	2.88 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 142.25

The most likely Handicap: 1 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

União Sportiva
68.3%

Sporting Lisbon
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.2%

34.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

União Sportiva has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in União Sportiva's performance.

Sporting Lisbon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sporting Lisbon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for União Sportiva than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sporting Lisbon than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

União Sportiva - Sporting Lisbon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 75:68

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
4. Carvalho M.	14. Almeida C.
28. Goncalves C.	5. Costa S.
11. Monique	11. Huff E.
8. Nascimento I.	21. Rouse D.
2. Rivera G.	15. Serranho L. (C)
Substitutes
21. Ferreira S. (C)	6. Barros M.
17. Gaislerova M.	3. Carvalho M.
14. Pimentel I.	16. Chainho R.
7. Rodrigues R.	13. Costa M.
27. Serralheiro L.	26. Maria Carolina
	9. Martins C.
	19. Urbano A.
Coaches
. Botelho R.	. Vieira J.

Preview

Recent performances by União Sportiva have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Sporting is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

União Sportiva may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

União Sportiva will hold a modest advantage in this match.

We predict that União Sportiva will win today's game, with odds of 1.47.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, União Sportiva won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 49:78.

Standings

		Pl	W	L		Pts
10	Sporting CP W	1	0	1	63:75	1
12	Uniao Sportiva W	1	0	1	58:73	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Clube União Sportiva
Portuguese LFB
31.01.26	Imortal - União Sportiva	95:71 ✺
24.01.26	União Sportiva - Madeira	87:65 ✺
18.01.26	Quinta Dos Lombos - União Sportiva	92:86 ✺
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
10.01.26	Sanjoanense - União Sportiva	69:85 ✺
Portuguese LFB
04.01.26	União Sportiva - Sanjoanense	73:64 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 LWLWW
- Sporting Lisbon Basketball Women
Taca de Portugal Basketball Women
01.02.26	Benfica - Sporting Lisbon	81:50 ✺
Portuguese LFB
30.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Benfica	66:85 ✺
25.01.26	Esgueira - Sporting Lisbon	82:80 ✺
17.01.26	GDESSA Barreiro - Sporting Lisbon	86:60 ✺
04.01.26	Sporting Lisbon - Imortal	77:82 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Portuguese LFB
23.11.25	Sporting Lisbon - União Sportiva	78:49

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