Match Info

LNB - Play Offs - 1/8-finals

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Palestino (Santiago de Chile)


	Universidad Católica		Ancud

	1	2
	3.25	1.27
	3.21	1.24
	3.13	1.32	Watch
	3	1.36
	3.2	1.32
	3.25	1.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.17 ↑ (2.5)	1.3 ↓ (1.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 139.50

The most likely Handicap: 2 (-7)

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Universidad Católica
29%

Ancud
71%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.4%

63.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.2%

61.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Universidad Católica has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Universidad Católica's form might have worsened.

Ancud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ancud's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Universidad Católica than the current prediction. (+9.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Universidad Católica, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Ancud, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Universidad Católica - Ancud Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +6, OT - Uni Católica (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Uni Católica (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 67:74

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
11. Damianovic Carrasco V.	7. Amardi R.
5. Dlugoszewski J. (C)	32. Granberry R.
17. Leopoldino P.	13. Hermosilla G.
2. Rickards R.	6. Martinez N.
10. Salcedo D.	9. Morales F. (C)
Substitutes
14. Barrientos T.	8. Aravena M.
22. Navarrete S.	94. Barraza P.
3. Penna V.	33. Chialva S.
26. Sada S.	4. Lopez A.
91. Salas C.	11. Vera R.
9. Silva S.
29. Waugh A.
Coaches
. Murphy B.	. Nunez C.

Preview

2nd leg. Ancud leads series 1-0.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 1.

Uni Católica has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Ancud is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recently Ancud have a series of home games.

In this match Ancud is a favorite.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Uni Católica won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 11 matches and goals 1171:1247 (average 78.1:83.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Uni Católica won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 565:587 (average 80.7:83.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Universidad Católica Basketball
Chilean LNB
17.04.25	Ancud - Universidad Católica	60:56 ✺
13.04.25	Universidad Católica - Las Animas	75:80 ✺
11.04.25	Universidad Católica - Universidad De Concepción	69:85 ✺
10.04.25	Universidad Católica - Espanol Osorno	62:68 ✺
06.04.25	Las Animas - Universidad Católica	82:73 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- CD AB Ancud
Chilean LNB
17.04.25	Ancud - Universidad Católica	60:56 ✺
13.04.25	Ancud - Colo Colo	84:63 ✺
12.04.25	Ancud - Español de Talca	84:55 ✺
10.04.25	Ancud - Puente Alto	90:77 ✺
06.04.25	Colo Colo - Ancud	83:79 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Chilean LNB
17.04.25	Ancud - Universidad Católica	60:56
15.03.25	Ancud - Universidad Católica	64:66
07.03.25	Universidad Católica - Ancud	70:75
13.04.24	Universidad Católica - Ancud	77:80
03.02.24	Ancud - Universidad Católica	86:84
29.04.23	Ancud - Universidad Católica	105:78
19.02.23	Universidad Católica - Ancud	89:104

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