The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ancud 67.1%
Puente Alto 32.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
59.5%
40.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.9%
41.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ancud has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ancud's performance.
Puente Alto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Puente Alto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ancud than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ancud that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Puente Alto than the current prediction. (+8.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Puente Alto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Ancud - Puente Alto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 79:73
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
20. Gomez H.
15. Ansaldo I.
22. Hassan R.
3. Barria O.
9. Morales F.
8. Navarro G.
3. Scott S. I.
24. Owens O.
15. Steele K.
14. Pino J.
Substitutes
99. Guzman S.
9. Carmona V.
4. Lopez A.
12. I. Araya Ulloa B.
8. Rojas L.
5. Lobos I.
12. Vega P.
7. Munoz R.
14. Yurie N.
90. Perez A.
88. Urrutia C.
Coaches
. Maldonado R.
. Chacon A.
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ancud won 4.
Ancud is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Puente Alto shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Ancud could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Recently, Ancud has faced a series of away games on the road.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Ancud holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 16 head-to-head meetings, Ancud has recorded 8 wins, 0 draws, and 8 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1277:1343 (averaging 79.8:83.9 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ancud against this opponent, the record stands at 5 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 657:645 goals (averaging 82.1:80.6 per game).